**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Munich on August 27, 2026, reflecting high confidence in current numerical weather prediction models.** Forecast guidance from sources aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates the minimum will occur during the pre-dawn hours through radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and dew points supporting a drop to near 14°C after daytime highs reached the mid-20s to low-30s °C. This aligns with typical late-August boundary-layer cooling rates in southern Germany when high pressure dominates and nocturnal inversions form. Historical climatology shows an average low near 13°C for the date, providing additional context for the market-implied odds. Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected low-level moisture or increased cloud cover that reduces outgoing longwave radiation, warmer southeasterly advection, or model bias in urban heat-island effects around the observation site. Updated model runs or official DWD observations in the final hours of the period could shift probabilities if conditions deviate from the current consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Munich on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 27?
14°C 100.0%
13°C 1.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
$8,239 ปริมาณ
$8,239 ปริมาณ
Aug 27, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
13°C 1.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
$8,239 ปริมาณ
$8,239 ปริมาณ
Aug 27, 2026
10°C or below
$164 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$751 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$91 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$105 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$6,180 ปริมาณ
Yes
15°C
$288 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$438 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$110 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$25 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$25 ปริมาณ
No
20°C or higher
$64 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Munich on August 27, 2026, reflecting high confidence in current numerical weather prediction models.**
Forecast guidance from sources aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates the minimum will occur during the pre-dawn hours through radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and dew points supporting a drop to near 14°C after daytime highs reached the mid-20s to low-30s °C. This aligns with typical late-August boundary-layer cooling rates in southern Germany when high pressure dominates and nocturnal inversions form. Historical climatology shows an average low near 13°C for the date, providing additional context for the market-implied odds.
Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected low-level moisture or increased cloud cover that reduces outgoing longwave radiation, warmer southeasterly advection, or model bias in urban heat-island effects around the observation site. Updated model runs or official DWD observations in the final hours of the period could shift probabilities if conditions deviate from the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,239วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Munich on August 27, 2026, reflecting high confidence in current numerical weather prediction models.**
Forecast guidance from sources aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates the minimum will occur during the pre-dawn hours through radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and dew points supporting a drop to near 14°C after daytime highs reached the mid-20s to low-30s °C. This aligns with typical late-August boundary-layer cooling rates in southern Germany when high pressure dominates and nocturnal inversions form. Historical climatology shows an average low near 13°C for the date, providing additional context for the market-implied odds.
Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected low-level moisture or increased cloud cover that reduces outgoing longwave radiation, warmer southeasterly advection, or model bias in urban heat-island effects around the observation site. Updated model runs or official DWD observations in the final hours of the period could shift probabilities if conditions deviate from the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,239วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Munich on August 27, 2026, reflecting high confidence in current numerical weather prediction models.** Forecast guidance from sources aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates the minimum will occur during the pre-dawn hours through radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and dew points supporting a drop to near 14°C after daytime highs reached the mid-20s to low-30s °C. This aligns with typical late-August boundary-layer cooling rates in southern Germany when high pressure dominates and nocturnal inversions form. Historical climatology shows an average low near 13°C for the date, providing additional context for the market-implied odds. Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected low-level moisture or increased cloud cover that reduces outgoing longwave radiation, warmer southeasterly advection, or model bias in urban heat-island effects around the observation site. Updated model runs or official DWD observations in the final hours of the period could shift probabilities if conditions deviate from the current consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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