Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 78°F or higher at 100% implied probability for Denver's May 14 high temperature, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) Boulder forecasts projecting peaks near 87°F amid summerlike conditions from a strong upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and adiabatic warming. Morning Area Forecast Discussion notes model agreement (GFS, ECMWF) keeping KDEN short of record highs but comfortably above the threshold, with midday observations already surpassing 78°F at Denver International Airport. This follows a week of near-record 80s after early May snow, aligning with climatological analogs for ridge-dominated patterns. Realistic challenges—sudden convective cooling or data revisions—are improbable given the stable synoptic setup and remaining daylight heating; final NOAA climate summary expected post-midnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Denver on May 14?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 14?
64-65°F <1%
$49,762 Vol.
$49,762 Vol.
64-65°F
<1%
64-65°F <1%
$49,762 Vol.
$49,762 Vol.
64-65°F
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 78°F or higher at 100% implied probability for Denver's May 14 high temperature, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) Boulder forecasts projecting peaks near 87°F amid summerlike conditions from a strong upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and adiabatic warming. Morning Area Forecast Discussion notes model agreement (GFS, ECMWF) keeping KDEN short of record highs but comfortably above the threshold, with midday observations already surpassing 78°F at Denver International Airport. This follows a week of near-record 80s after early May snow, aligning with climatological analogs for ridge-dominated patterns. Realistic challenges—sudden convective cooling or data revisions—are improbable given the stable synoptic setup and remaining daylight heating; final NOAA climate summary expected post-midnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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