Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s X activity remains minimal during the September 15–22 window, consistent with his established pattern of infrequent direct posts since assuming the supreme leader role. Communications have centered on official statements released through institutional channels rather than regular social media engagement, amid ongoing regional tensions, his reported injury from earlier strikes, and security considerations that limit public digital presence. Trader consensus at 96.2% for under five posts reflects this low baseline output and the absence of recent catalysts prompting increased volume. A major escalation, high-profile diplomatic development, or shift toward more direct platform use could still increase activity within the resolution period.