United Russia’s projected vote share in the September 2026 State Duma election has settled in the 55-60% range according to trader consensus, driven by preliminary Central Election Commission tallies showing the party at 57-58% after processing roughly half the protocols, alongside strong performance in single-mandate constituencies. The three-day vote occurred in a tightly managed system with minimal genuine opposition on the ballot, consistent Kremlin alignment among other qualifying parties, and structural advantages from prior electoral rules that historically delivered the ruling party near or above 50%. Exit polls placed support lower at 49-53%, yet official counts have remained stable in the targeted band despite reported war-related pressures and turnout near 57%. Final certification and any adjustments to party-list versus district results will determine precise resolution within the leading interval.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update55-60% 95%
60%+ 4.0%
50-55% 1.9%
45-50% <1%
$35,300 Vol.
$35,300 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
<40%
<1%
40-45%
<1%
45-50%
1%
50-55%
2%
55-60%
95%
60%+
4%
55-60% 95%
60%+ 4.0%
50-55% 1.9%
45-50% <1%
$35,300 Vol.
$35,300 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
<40%
$146 Vol.
<1%
40-45%
$578 Vol.
<1%
45-50%
$5,554 Vol.
1%
50-55%
$8,224 Vol.
2%
55-60%
$6,034 Vol.
95%
60%+
$14,766 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia’s projected vote share in the September 2026 State Duma election has settled in the 55-60% range according to trader consensus, driven by preliminary Central Election Commission tallies showing the party at 57-58% after processing roughly half the protocols, alongside strong performance in single-mandate constituencies. The three-day vote occurred in a tightly managed system with minimal genuine opposition on the ballot, consistent Kremlin alignment among other qualifying parties, and structural advantages from prior electoral rules that historically delivered the ruling party near or above 50%. Exit polls placed support lower at 49-53%, yet official counts have remained stable in the targeted band despite reported war-related pressures and turnout near 57%. Final certification and any adjustments to party-list versus district results will determine precise resolution within the leading interval.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$35,300Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia’s projected vote share in the September 2026 State Duma election has settled in the 55-60% range according to trader consensus, driven by preliminary Central Election Commission tallies showing the party at 57-58% after processing roughly half the protocols, alongside strong performance in single-mandate constituencies. The three-day vote occurred in a tightly managed system with minimal genuine opposition on the ballot, consistent Kremlin alignment among other qualifying parties, and structural advantages from prior electoral rules that historically delivered the ruling party near or above 50%. Exit polls placed support lower at 49-53%, yet official counts have remained stable in the targeted band despite reported war-related pressures and turnout near 57%. Final certification and any adjustments to party-list versus district results will determine precise resolution within the leading interval.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$35,300Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia’s projected vote share in the September 2026 State Duma election has settled in the 55-60% range according to trader consensus, driven by preliminary Central Election Commission tallies showing the party at 57-58% after processing roughly half the protocols, alongside strong performance in single-mandate constituencies. The three-day vote occurred in a tightly managed system with minimal genuine opposition on the ballot, consistent Kremlin alignment among other qualifying parties, and structural advantages from prior electoral rules that historically delivered the ruling party near or above 50%. Exit polls placed support lower at 49-53%, yet official counts have remained stable in the targeted band despite reported war-related pressures and turnout near 57%. Final certification and any adjustments to party-list versus district results will determine precise resolution within the leading interval.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong