Recent polling from late April has positioned Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in Alaska’s open 2026 gubernatorial race, driving his 38% market share ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson at 24.5%. A nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 and ranked-choice voting in the general election favor Begich’s broader appeal, as shown in simulations where he reaches 54% against Wilson. The crowded Republican field—including Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, Nancy Dahlstrom, and David Bronson—fragments support and sustains vote-splitting. Fundraising reports confirm Begich’s strong early hauls from Alaskan donors, while Mary Peltola’s Senate bid cleared the Democratic lane. These factors shape trader consensus on advancement and general-election viability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПереможець виборів губернатора Аляски
Том Бегіч 38%
Бернадетт Вілсон 25%
Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс 11.4%
Treg Taylor 10.1%
$972,541 Обс.
$972,541 Обс.

Том Бегіч
38%

Бернадетт Вілсон
25%

Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс
11%

Treg Taylor
10%

Click Bishop
6%

Ненсі Дальстром
6%

David Bronson
5%

Метт Хейлала
1%

Adam Crum
1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Matt Claman
<1%

Джеймс Паркін
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Брюс Волден
<1%
Том Бегіч 38%
Бернадетт Вілсон 25%
Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс 11.4%
Treg Taylor 10.1%
$972,541 Обс.
$972,541 Обс.

Том Бегіч
38%

Бернадетт Вілсон
25%

Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс
11%

Treg Taylor
10%

Click Bishop
6%

Ненсі Дальстром
6%

David Bronson
5%

Метт Хейлала
1%

Adam Crum
1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Matt Claman
<1%

Джеймс Паркін
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Брюс Волден
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from late April has positioned Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in Alaska’s open 2026 gubernatorial race, driving his 38% market share ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson at 24.5%. A nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 and ranked-choice voting in the general election favor Begich’s broader appeal, as shown in simulations where he reaches 54% against Wilson. The crowded Republican field—including Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, Nancy Dahlstrom, and David Bronson—fragments support and sustains vote-splitting. Fundraising reports confirm Begich’s strong early hauls from Alaskan donors, while Mary Peltola’s Senate bid cleared the Democratic lane. These factors shape trader consensus on advancement and general-election viability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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