Trader consensus on Polymarket prices PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 51% implied probability, aligning closely with the latest polls from firms like 40dB, Celeste-Tel, and Sociométrica published May 10-11, which project the Socialists around 22-24% vote share translating to 26-29 escaños in the 109-seat Andalusian Parliament under the d'Hondt system. This positioning stems from steady PSOE-A support amid a dominant PP campaign led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, who polls near absolute majority territory (53-58 seats), while PSOE faces a projected historic low under regional leader María Jesús Montero following national coalition strains. No major shifts in the final 48 hours, but Sunday's vote could hinge on turnout in key provinces like Seville and turnout among left-leaning blocs, with Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía splitting progressive votes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено27-29 48%
24-26 39%
21-23 9.0%
30-32 6.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
<21
3%
21-23
9%
24-26
34%
27-29
48%
30-32
7%
33+
3%
27-29 48%
24-26 39%
21-23 9.0%
30-32 6.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
<21
$397 Обс.
3%
21-23
$713 Обс.
9%
24-26
$380 Обс.
34%
27-29
$556 Обс.
48%
30-32
$153 Обс.
7%
33+
$1,892 Обс.
3%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 51% implied probability, aligning closely with the latest polls from firms like 40dB, Celeste-Tel, and Sociométrica published May 10-11, which project the Socialists around 22-24% vote share translating to 26-29 escaños in the 109-seat Andalusian Parliament under the d'Hondt system. This positioning stems from steady PSOE-A support amid a dominant PP campaign led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, who polls near absolute majority territory (53-58 seats), while PSOE faces a projected historic low under regional leader María Jesús Montero following national coalition strains. No major shifts in the final 48 hours, but Sunday's vote could hinge on turnout in key provinces like Seville and turnout among left-leaning blocs, with Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía splitting progressive votes.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,091Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 51% implied probability, aligning closely with the latest polls from firms like 40dB, Celeste-Tel, and Sociométrica published May 10-11, which project the Socialists around 22-24% vote share translating to 26-29 escaños in the 109-seat Andalusian Parliament under the d'Hondt system. This positioning stems from steady PSOE-A support amid a dominant PP campaign led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, who polls near absolute majority territory (53-58 seats), while PSOE faces a projected historic low under regional leader María Jesús Montero following national coalition strains. No major shifts in the final 48 hours, but Sunday's vote could hinge on turnout in key provinces like Seville and turnout among left-leaning blocs, with Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía splitting progressive votes.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Обсяг
$4,091Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 51% implied probability, aligning closely with the latest polls from firms like 40dB, Celeste-Tel, and Sociométrica published May 10-11, which project the Socialists around 22-24% vote share translating to 26-29 escaños in the 109-seat Andalusian Parliament under the d'Hondt system. This positioning stems from steady PSOE-A support amid a dominant PP campaign led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, who polls near absolute majority territory (53-58 seats), while PSOE faces a projected historic low under regional leader María Jesús Montero following national coalition strains. No major shifts in the final 48 hours, but Sunday's vote could hinge on turnout in key provinces like Seville and turnout among left-leaning blocs, with Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía splitting progressive votes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання