Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones dominate fundraising and endorsements heading into California's June 2 top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District. Thompson's long tenure and backing from Governor Gavin Newsom and the state Democratic Party contrast with Jones's tech-sector support and generational appeal as a political newcomer. Redistricting under Proposition 50 incorporated more conservative counties such as Sutter and Yuba, modestly reducing the district's Democratic lean, yet no Republican or independent candidate has consolidated support or raised comparable resources. The fragmented field of six Republicans makes a second Democratic advance the most likely outcome under the nonpartisan primary rules, with late spending or endorsements as the main variables before ballots close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$29,989 Обс.
Mike Thompson
97%
Eric Jones
90%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
John Wesley Tyler
8%
Trevor Merrell
7%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$29,989 Обс.
Mike Thompson
97%
Eric Jones
90%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
John Wesley Tyler
8%
Trevor Merrell
7%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones dominate fundraising and endorsements heading into California's June 2 top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District. Thompson's long tenure and backing from Governor Gavin Newsom and the state Democratic Party contrast with Jones's tech-sector support and generational appeal as a political newcomer. Redistricting under Proposition 50 incorporated more conservative counties such as Sutter and Yuba, modestly reducing the district's Democratic lean, yet no Republican or independent candidate has consolidated support or raised comparable resources. The fragmented field of six Republicans makes a second Democratic advance the most likely outcome under the nonpartisan primary rules, with late spending or endorsements as the main variables before ballots close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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