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FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner

FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Yen Bailey 57%

Amanda Green 18%

Brice Barnes 9.4%

Nic Zateslo 6.7%

Polymarket

$50,547 Обс.

Yen Bailey 57%

Amanda Green 18%

Brice Barnes 9.4%

Nic Zateslo 6.7%

Polymarket

$50,547 Обс.

Yen Bailey

$19,483 Обс.

57%

Amanda Green

$11,427 Обс.

18%

Brice Barnes

$6,689 Обс.

9%

Nic Zateslo

$12,947 Обс.

7%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Yen Bailey holds the strongest position in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s open 2nd Congressional District, driven by her status as the 2024 nominee, established fundraising, and ballot qualification through voter signatures. Neal Dunn’s retirement created an open seat spanning the Panhandle to Tallahassee, drawing challengers including Brice Barnes, Amanda Green, and Nic Zateslo, each with local ties and community or professional backgrounds. The multi-candidate field and limited polling keep trader probabilities clustered, reflecting uncertainty over turnout among Democratic voters in a historically Republican-leaning district. Late endorsements, final fundraising reports, or strong debate performances in the final days could shift momentum ahead of primary results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$50,547
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 26, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Yen Bailey holds the strongest position in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s open 2nd Congressional District, driven by her status as the 2024 nominee, established fundraising, and ballot qualification through voter signatures. Neal Dunn’s retirement created an open seat spanning the Panhandle to Tallahassee, drawing challengers including Brice Barnes, Amanda Green, and Nic Zateslo, each with local ties and community or professional backgrounds. The multi-candidate field and limited polling keep trader probabilities clustered, reflecting uncertainty over turnout among Democratic voters in a historically Republican-leaning district. Late endorsements, final fundraising reports, or strong debate performances in the final days could shift momentum ahead of primary results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$50,547
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 26, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Yen Bailey» з 57%, далі «Amanda Green» з 18%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $50.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 26, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Yen Bailey» з 57%. Наступний — «Amanda Green» з 18%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.