Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 12°C maximum in Buenos Aires on August 12, followed closely by 11–13°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus for a cool winter day well below the 15–17°C August climatological average. A persistent high-pressure system combined with recent southerly flow behind a cold front has reinforced below-average conditions through limited warm-air advection and enhanced radiative cooling under mostly clear to overcast skies. Short-range guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs points to a daytime peak near 10–12°C, with light showers possible late in the period that could further cap warming. These factors, alongside stable high-pressure steering patterns, explain the concentration of market-implied odds around the 11–12°C range while leaving modest room for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 12?
12°C 41%
13°C 24%
11°C 19%
14°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
9°C or below
4%
10°C
6%
11°C
19%
12°C
41%
13°C
24%
14°C
8%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 41%
13°C 24%
11°C 19%
14°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
9°C or below
$72 Обс.
4%
10°C
$334 Обс.
6%
11°C
$950 Обс.
19%
12°C
$1,468 Обс.
41%
13°C
$185 Обс.
24%
14°C
$21 Обс.
8%
15°C
$88 Обс.
2%
16°C
$168 Обс.
1%
17°C
$19 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$19 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$19 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 12°C maximum in Buenos Aires on August 12, followed closely by 11–13°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus for a cool winter day well below the 15–17°C August climatological average. A persistent high-pressure system combined with recent southerly flow behind a cold front has reinforced below-average conditions through limited warm-air advection and enhanced radiative cooling under mostly clear to overcast skies. Short-range guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs points to a daytime peak near 10–12°C, with light showers possible late in the period that could further cap warming. These factors, alongside stable high-pressure steering patterns, explain the concentration of market-implied odds around the 11–12°C range while leaving modest room for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,342Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 12°C maximum in Buenos Aires on August 12, followed closely by 11–13°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus for a cool winter day well below the 15–17°C August climatological average. A persistent high-pressure system combined with recent southerly flow behind a cold front has reinforced below-average conditions through limited warm-air advection and enhanced radiative cooling under mostly clear to overcast skies. Short-range guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs points to a daytime peak near 10–12°C, with light showers possible late in the period that could further cap warming. These factors, alongside stable high-pressure steering patterns, explain the concentration of market-implied odds around the 11–12°C range while leaving modest room for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,342Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 12°C maximum in Buenos Aires on August 12, followed closely by 11–13°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus for a cool winter day well below the 15–17°C August climatological average. A persistent high-pressure system combined with recent southerly flow behind a cold front has reinforced below-average conditions through limited warm-air advection and enhanced radiative cooling under mostly clear to overcast skies. Short-range guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs points to a daytime peak near 10–12°C, with light showers possible late in the period that could further cap warming. These factors, alongside stable high-pressure steering patterns, explain the concentration of market-implied odds around the 11–12°C range while leaving modest room for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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