The overwhelming market consensus on a 27°C high in Hong Kong on May 15 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. These weather patterns typically bring clear skies and light winds in mid-May, allowing daytime solar heating to reach seasonal norms of 26–28°C without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. Traders are weighting the verified observational data heavily, as historical records show similar May maxima occur frequently in the absence of tropical moisture or typhoon influences. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the outcome, though such revisions remain rare for this well-monitored urban site.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,433 Обс.
$292,433 Обс.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,433 Обс.
$292,433 Обс.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,583 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$89,457 Обс.
100%
28°C
$45,405 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,849 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus on a 27°C high in Hong Kong on May 15 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. These weather patterns typically bring clear skies and light winds in mid-May, allowing daytime solar heating to reach seasonal norms of 26–28°C without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. Traders are weighting the verified observational data heavily, as historical records show similar May maxima occur frequently in the absence of tropical moisture or typhoon influences. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the outcome, though such revisions remain rare for this well-monitored urban site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$292,433Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus on a 27°C high in Hong Kong on May 15 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. These weather patterns typically bring clear skies and light winds in mid-May, allowing daytime solar heating to reach seasonal norms of 26–28°C without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. Traders are weighting the verified observational data heavily, as historical records show similar May maxima occur frequently in the absence of tropical moisture or typhoon influences. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the outcome, though such revisions remain rare for this well-monitored urban site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$292,433Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming market consensus on a 27°C high in Hong Kong on May 15 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. These weather patterns typically bring clear skies and light winds in mid-May, allowing daytime solar heating to reach seasonal norms of 26–28°C without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. Traders are weighting the verified observational data heavily, as historical records show similar May maxima occur frequently in the absence of tropical moisture or typhoon influences. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the outcome, though such revisions remain rare for this well-monitored urban site.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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