Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 Обс.
$292,518 Обс.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 Обс.
$292,518 Обс.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,583 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$89,457 Обс.
100%
28°C
$45,405 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,925 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$292,518Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$292,518Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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