Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25 °C on May 16, aligning with typical mid-May climatology under a stable subtropical high-pressure system that limited daytime heating and kept dew points moderate. This outcome produced the market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C because traders observed the verified 24-hour peak before resolution criteria closed. A brief sea-breeze circulation and light cloud cover further capped temperatures near the long-term May average high of 28 °C, preventing any excursion into the 26 °C–29 °C range. The only realistic challenge to this consensus would have been an unreported station error or a late-day spike exceeding the official maximum, both of which remain statistically improbable given multiple cross-verified observing sites.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,885 Обс.
$303,885 Обс.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,885 Обс.
$303,885 Обс.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$20,087 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$12,259 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$4,753 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$77,401 Обс.
100%
26°C
$43,033 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$39,653 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$25,261 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$25,047 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25 °C on May 16, aligning with typical mid-May climatology under a stable subtropical high-pressure system that limited daytime heating and kept dew points moderate. This outcome produced the market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C because traders observed the verified 24-hour peak before resolution criteria closed. A brief sea-breeze circulation and light cloud cover further capped temperatures near the long-term May average high of 28 °C, preventing any excursion into the 26 °C–29 °C range. The only realistic challenge to this consensus would have been an unreported station error or a late-day spike exceeding the official maximum, both of which remain statistically improbable given multiple cross-verified observing sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Обсяг
$303,885Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25 °C on May 16, aligning with typical mid-May climatology under a stable subtropical high-pressure system that limited daytime heating and kept dew points moderate. This outcome produced the market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C because traders observed the verified 24-hour peak before resolution criteria closed. A brief sea-breeze circulation and light cloud cover further capped temperatures near the long-term May average high of 28 °C, preventing any excursion into the 26 °C–29 °C range. The only realistic challenge to this consensus would have been an unreported station error or a late-day spike exceeding the official maximum, both of which remain statistically improbable given multiple cross-verified observing sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$303,885Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25 °C on May 16, aligning with typical mid-May climatology under a stable subtropical high-pressure system that limited daytime heating and kept dew points moderate. This outcome produced the market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C because traders observed the verified 24-hour peak before resolution criteria closed. A brief sea-breeze circulation and light cloud cover further capped temperatures near the long-term May average high of 28 °C, preventing any excursion into the 26 °C–29 °C range. The only realistic challenge to this consensus would have been an unreported station error or a late-day spike exceeding the official maximum, both of which remain statistically improbable given multiple cross-verified observing sites.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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