Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C today, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining persistent cloud cover to limit solar heating. These conditions have suppressed temperatures well below the May climatological average of 28–31°C, producing the market-implied consensus at 100% for exactly 25°C. An unexpected clearing of cloud cover or a late shift in steering winds could allow brief additional warming and push readings to 26°C, though current model runs show low probability of such a change before the official daily maximum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$265,881 Обс.
$265,881 Обс.
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$265,881 Обс.
$265,881 Обс.
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
$3,029 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$2,037 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$2,261 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,657 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$6,693 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$38,211 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$103,686 Обс.
100%
26°C
$55,004 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$24,343 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$12,542 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$16,419 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C today, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining persistent cloud cover to limit solar heating. These conditions have suppressed temperatures well below the May climatological average of 28–31°C, producing the market-implied consensus at 100% for exactly 25°C. An unexpected clearing of cloud cover or a late shift in steering winds could allow brief additional warming and push readings to 26°C, though current model runs show low probability of such a change before the official daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$265,881Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C today, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining persistent cloud cover to limit solar heating. These conditions have suppressed temperatures well below the May climatological average of 28–31°C, producing the market-implied consensus at 100% for exactly 25°C. An unexpected clearing of cloud cover or a late shift in steering winds could allow brief additional warming and push readings to 26°C, though current model runs show low probability of such a change before the official daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$265,881Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C today, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining persistent cloud cover to limit solar heating. These conditions have suppressed temperatures well below the May climatological average of 28–31°C, producing the market-implied consensus at 100% for exactly 25°C. An unexpected clearing of cloud cover or a late shift in steering winds could allow brief additional warming and push readings to 26°C, though current model runs show low probability of such a change before the official daily maximum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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