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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?

May 15

May 16

May 17

May 18

May 15

May 16

May 17

May 18

27°C 54%

26°C 33%

28°C 11%

25°C 3.8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

$86,830 Обс.

27°C 54%

26°C 33%

28°C 11%

25°C 3.8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

$86,830 Обс.

21°C or below

$5,221 Обс.

<1%

22°C

$3,756 Обс.

<1%

23°C

$14,385 Обс.

<1%

24°C

$8,191 Обс.

<1%

25°C

$8,625 Обс.

4%

26°C

$9,267 Обс.

33%

27°C

$5,856 Обс.

54%

28°C

$6,442 Обс.

11%

29°C

$9,825 Обс.

3%

30°C

$6,439 Обс.

1%

31°C or higher

$9,023 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 27°C on May 18 under typical early-summer transition conditions, with moderate southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that restricts peak solar heating and keeps temperatures from climbing higher. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover around 28°C amid rising humidity and the onset of the southwest monsoon. Model consensus from regional guidance shows limited disagreement, with no strong frontal systems or clear skies expected to push readings to 29°C or above, while the narrow spread of trader-implied probabilities between 26°C and 28°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized urban heat effects. Updated observational data and evening forecast revisions will be key for final resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$86,830
Дата завершення
May 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 27°C on May 18 under typical early-summer transition conditions, with moderate southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that restricts peak solar heating and keeps temperatures from climbing higher. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover around 28°C amid rising humidity and the onset of the southwest monsoon. Model consensus from regional guidance shows limited disagreement, with no strong frontal systems or clear skies expected to push readings to 29°C or above, while the narrow spread of trader-implied probabilities between 26°C and 28°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized urban heat effects. Updated observational data and evening forecast revisions will be key for final resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$86,830
Дата завершення
May 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «27°C» з 54%, далі «26°C» з 33%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?» згенерував $86.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 16, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?» — «27°C» з 54%. Наступний — «26°C» з 33%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.