Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a Shandong Meteorological Observatory high-temperature orange warning, issued August 1 and covering August 2–5, form the core driver of the market’s near-certain 36 °C-or-higher outcome. Official projections place northern Qingdao maxima at 37–39 °C, with isolated spots potentially exceeding 40 °C under persistent high pressure, elevated humidity (50–80 %), and limited cloud cover. This aligns with regional model consensus and historical analogs for early-August heat events in the Shandong peninsula. Traders’ overwhelming positioning reflects the strength of these verified forecasts from authoritative monitoring agencies. Realistically, a sharp increase in onshore flow, unexpected convective cooling, or a station-specific measurement falling just below threshold could still alter the recorded high, though such shifts appear improbable given current atmospheric setup.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 5?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 5?
36°C or higher 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$33,440 Обс.
$33,440 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
100%
36°C or higher 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$33,440 Обс.
$33,440 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
26°C or below
$353 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$428 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$287 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$327 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$594 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$788 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$1,163 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$4,373 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$4,936 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$9,616 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$10,583 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a Shandong Meteorological Observatory high-temperature orange warning, issued August 1 and covering August 2–5, form the core driver of the market’s near-certain 36 °C-or-higher outcome. Official projections place northern Qingdao maxima at 37–39 °C, with isolated spots potentially exceeding 40 °C under persistent high pressure, elevated humidity (50–80 %), and limited cloud cover. This aligns with regional model consensus and historical analogs for early-August heat events in the Shandong peninsula. Traders’ overwhelming positioning reflects the strength of these verified forecasts from authoritative monitoring agencies. Realistically, a sharp increase in onshore flow, unexpected convective cooling, or a station-specific measurement falling just below threshold could still alter the recorded high, though such shifts appear improbable given current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,440Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a Shandong Meteorological Observatory high-temperature orange warning, issued August 1 and covering August 2–5, form the core driver of the market’s near-certain 36 °C-or-higher outcome. Official projections place northern Qingdao maxima at 37–39 °C, with isolated spots potentially exceeding 40 °C under persistent high pressure, elevated humidity (50–80 %), and limited cloud cover. This aligns with regional model consensus and historical analogs for early-August heat events in the Shandong peninsula. Traders’ overwhelming positioning reflects the strength of these verified forecasts from authoritative monitoring agencies. Realistically, a sharp increase in onshore flow, unexpected convective cooling, or a station-specific measurement falling just below threshold could still alter the recorded high, though such shifts appear improbable given current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$33,440Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a Shandong Meteorological Observatory high-temperature orange warning, issued August 1 and covering August 2–5, form the core driver of the market’s near-certain 36 °C-or-higher outcome. Official projections place northern Qingdao maxima at 37–39 °C, with isolated spots potentially exceeding 40 °C under persistent high pressure, elevated humidity (50–80 %), and limited cloud cover. This aligns with regional model consensus and historical analogs for early-August heat events in the Shandong peninsula. Traders’ overwhelming positioning reflects the strength of these verified forecasts from authoritative monitoring agencies. Realistically, a sharp increase in onshore flow, unexpected convective cooling, or a station-specific measurement falling just below threshold could still alter the recorded high, though such shifts appear improbable given current atmospheric setup.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання