Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles show maximum temperatures in São Paulo hovering near 18°C on May 19, with limited spread between 17°C and 19°C driven by a passing frontal system and associated cloud cover that is moderating daytime heating. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities around the historical May average high of 21–23°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how quickly the cooler air mass will clear and allow greater solar warming. Traders are also weighing typical autumn variability, including potential afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 20°C, while any faster clearing or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 19?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 19?
18°C 31%
19°C 18%
16°C 13%
17°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
13%
17°C
13%
18°C
31%
19°C
18%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
4%
18°C 31%
19°C 18%
16°C 13%
17°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$46 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$138 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$15 Обс.
1%
15°C
$120 Обс.
8%
16°C
$17 Обс.
13%
17°C
$10 Обс.
13%
18°C
$0 Обс.
31%
19°C
$10 Обс.
18%
20°C
$0 Обс.
8%
21°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles show maximum temperatures in São Paulo hovering near 18°C on May 19, with limited spread between 17°C and 19°C driven by a passing frontal system and associated cloud cover that is moderating daytime heating. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities around the historical May average high of 21–23°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how quickly the cooler air mass will clear and allow greater solar warming. Traders are also weighing typical autumn variability, including potential afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 20°C, while any faster clearing or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$360Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles show maximum temperatures in São Paulo hovering near 18°C on May 19, with limited spread between 17°C and 19°C driven by a passing frontal system and associated cloud cover that is moderating daytime heating. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities around the historical May average high of 21–23°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how quickly the cooler air mass will clear and allow greater solar warming. Traders are also weighing typical autumn variability, including potential afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 20°C, while any faster clearing or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$360Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRRecent short-range forecast models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles show maximum temperatures in São Paulo hovering near 18°C on May 19, with limited spread between 17°C and 19°C driven by a passing frontal system and associated cloud cover that is moderating daytime heating. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities around the historical May average high of 21–23°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how quickly the cooler air mass will clear and allow greater solar warming. Traders are also weighing typical autumn variability, including potential afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 20°C, while any faster clearing or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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