Official forecasts from meteorological models, including AccuWeather guidance projecting Warsaw highs up to 28.9°C, have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 29°C peak for June 9. This aligns with regional atmospheric patterns featuring warmer southerly flow and limited cloud cover expected to support daytime warming near the upper end of June climatological norms (typically 22–24°C). Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range, with minimal spread that would shift the daily maximum outside the 29°C resolution threshold. A sudden increase in convective activity or a faster-than-expected frontal passage could cap temperatures one or two degrees lower, though current steering patterns make substantial downward revisions unlikely before final observations are recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 9?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,847 Обс.
$49,847 Обс.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,847 Обс.
$49,847 Обс.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official forecasts from meteorological models, including AccuWeather guidance projecting Warsaw highs up to 28.9°C, have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 29°C peak for June 9. This aligns with regional atmospheric patterns featuring warmer southerly flow and limited cloud cover expected to support daytime warming near the upper end of June climatological norms (typically 22–24°C). Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range, with minimal spread that would shift the daily maximum outside the 29°C resolution threshold. A sudden increase in convective activity or a faster-than-expected frontal passage could cap temperatures one or two degrees lower, though current steering patterns make substantial downward revisions unlikely before final observations are recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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