Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$49,154 Обс.
$49,154 Обс.
May 16, 2026
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$49,154 Обс.
$49,154 Обс.
May 16, 2026
6°C or below
$2,911 Обс.
No
7°C
$865 Обс.
No
8°C
$607 Обс.
No
9°C
$1,394 Обс.
No
10°C
$1,099 Обс.
No
11°C
$5,073 Обс.
No
12°C
$6,831 Обс.
No
13°C
$13,035 Обс.
Yes
14°C
$9,217 Обс.
No
15°C
$4,643 Обс.
No
16°C or higher
$3,478 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Обсяг
$49,154Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$49,154Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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