Traders have overwhelmingly priced in a daily high of 14°C for Wellington today because short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and international guidance show stable southerly airflow keeping daytime maxima locked near that level. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud-cover variability and no incoming frontal systems capable of driving meaningful temperature departures. This near-certainty reflects both the day’s advanced stage and tight agreement across observational networks, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the capital. Only an unforecasted warm advection event or instrument calibration shift could realistically alter the outcome before final readings are recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$53,850 Обс.
$53,850 Обс.
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$53,850 Обс.
$53,850 Обс.
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
$4,661 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$2,840 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$2,362 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$4,007 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$2,263 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$7,921 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$7,801 Обс.
100%
15°C
$4,620 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$8,352 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$4,197 Обс.
<1%
18°C or higher
$4,824 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have overwhelmingly priced in a daily high of 14°C for Wellington today because short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and international guidance show stable southerly airflow keeping daytime maxima locked near that level. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud-cover variability and no incoming frontal systems capable of driving meaningful temperature departures. This near-certainty reflects both the day’s advanced stage and tight agreement across observational networks, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the capital. Only an unforecasted warm advection event or instrument calibration shift could realistically alter the outcome before final readings are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$53,850Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have overwhelmingly priced in a daily high of 14°C for Wellington today because short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and international guidance show stable southerly airflow keeping daytime maxima locked near that level. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud-cover variability and no incoming frontal systems capable of driving meaningful temperature departures. This near-certainty reflects both the day’s advanced stage and tight agreement across observational networks, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the capital. Only an unforecasted warm advection event or instrument calibration shift could realistically alter the outcome before final readings are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$53,850Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNTraders have overwhelmingly priced in a daily high of 14°C for Wellington today because short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and international guidance show stable southerly airflow keeping daytime maxima locked near that level. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud-cover variability and no incoming frontal systems capable of driving meaningful temperature departures. This near-certainty reflects both the day’s advanced stage and tight agreement across observational networks, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the capital. Only an unforecasted warm advection event or instrument calibration shift could realistically alter the outcome before final readings are recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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