**Persistent high humidity and cloud cover from subtropical monsoon conditions are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Guangzhou, keeping the minimum temperature elevated.** On August 28, 2026, forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows clustered around 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F), with dew points near 27–28°C and frequent thunderstorms or overcast skies preventing the typical drop toward the long-term average low of 25.2°C. Recent model runs and surface observations confirm warm advection and high moisture content, consistent with late-August climatology in the region where daily lows rarely fall below 24°C without a strong frontal passage. This setup positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 56% implied probability, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing sustained warmth rather than a sharper cooldown. Updated evening and overnight readings from local stations will refine resolution near the 26–27°C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 28?
26°C 100.0%
24°C 2%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$1,688 Обс.
$1,688 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
24°C 2%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$1,688 Обс.
$1,688 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
$301 Обс.
No
22°C
$102 Обс.
No
23°C
$122 Обс.
No
24°C
$72 Обс.
No
25°C
$121 Обс.
No
26°C
$305 Обс.
Yes
27°C
$73 Обс.
No
28°C
$69 Обс.
No
29°C
$85 Обс.
No
30°C
$300 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$137 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity and cloud cover from subtropical monsoon conditions are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Guangzhou, keeping the minimum temperature elevated.** On August 28, 2026, forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows clustered around 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F), with dew points near 27–28°C and frequent thunderstorms or overcast skies preventing the typical drop toward the long-term average low of 25.2°C. Recent model runs and surface observations confirm warm advection and high moisture content, consistent with late-August climatology in the region where daily lows rarely fall below 24°C without a strong frontal passage. This setup positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 56% implied probability, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing sustained warmth rather than a sharper cooldown. Updated evening and overnight readings from local stations will refine resolution near the 26–27°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,688Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity and cloud cover from subtropical monsoon conditions are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Guangzhou, keeping the minimum temperature elevated.** On August 28, 2026, forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows clustered around 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F), with dew points near 27–28°C and frequent thunderstorms or overcast skies preventing the typical drop toward the long-term average low of 25.2°C. Recent model runs and surface observations confirm warm advection and high moisture content, consistent with late-August climatology in the region where daily lows rarely fall below 24°C without a strong frontal passage. This setup positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 56% implied probability, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing sustained warmth rather than a sharper cooldown. Updated evening and overnight readings from local stations will refine resolution near the 26–27°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,688Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Persistent high humidity and cloud cover from subtropical monsoon conditions are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Guangzhou, keeping the minimum temperature elevated.** On August 28, 2026, forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows clustered around 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F), with dew points near 27–28°C and frequent thunderstorms or overcast skies preventing the typical drop toward the long-term average low of 25.2°C. Recent model runs and surface observations confirm warm advection and high moisture content, consistent with late-August climatology in the region where daily lows rarely fall below 24°C without a strong frontal passage. This setup positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 56% implied probability, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing sustained warmth rather than a sharper cooldown. Updated evening and overnight readings from local stations will refine resolution near the 26–27°C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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