Recent forecast updates from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows near 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11 °C reflects lingering uncertainty in radiative cooling efficiency. Clearer intervals could enhance surface heat loss and push minima toward 9–10 °C, while increased low-level moisture or showers would limit cooling and favor 11 °C or higher. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 9–13 °C, so traders are weighing short-term model spreads against observed boundary-layer conditions and Baltic Sea temperature advection as the day’s minimum is finalized.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on August 21?
10°C 48%
8°C 24%
9°C 22%
6°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
24%
9°C
22%
10°C
25%
11°C
58%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 48%
8°C 24%
9°C 22%
6°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
5°C or below
$35 Обс.
<1%
6°C
$39 Обс.
1%
7°C
$62 Обс.
1%
8°C
$7 Обс.
24%
9°C
$69 Обс.
22%
10°C
$14 Обс.
25%
11°C
$71 Обс.
58%
12°C
$276 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$195 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$234 Обс.
<1%
15°C or higher
$263 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows near 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11 °C reflects lingering uncertainty in radiative cooling efficiency. Clearer intervals could enhance surface heat loss and push minima toward 9–10 °C, while increased low-level moisture or showers would limit cooling and favor 11 °C or higher. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 9–13 °C, so traders are weighing short-term model spreads against observed boundary-layer conditions and Baltic Sea temperature advection as the day’s minimum is finalized.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,264Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows near 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11 °C reflects lingering uncertainty in radiative cooling efficiency. Clearer intervals could enhance surface heat loss and push minima toward 9–10 °C, while increased low-level moisture or showers would limit cooling and favor 11 °C or higher. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 9–13 °C, so traders are weighing short-term model spreads against observed boundary-layer conditions and Baltic Sea temperature advection as the day’s minimum is finalized.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,264Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows near 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11 °C reflects lingering uncertainty in radiative cooling efficiency. Clearer intervals could enhance surface heat loss and push minima toward 9–10 °C, while increased low-level moisture or showers would limit cooling and favor 11 °C or higher. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 9–13 °C, so traders are weighing short-term model spreads against observed boundary-layer conditions and Baltic Sea temperature advection as the day’s minimum is finalized.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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