The market for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16 reflects overwhelming trader consensus on a 23°C minimum, backed by confirmed observations from the Hong Kong Observatory showing nocturnal cooling stabilized at this level under typical May subtropical high-pressure conditions. Regional atmospheric patterns limited stronger radiative cooling, consistent with climatological baselines for the period that place average daily lows near 22–24°C. Model guidance issued in the preceding days aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for variance in final verification. Revised station data or post-event quality checks remain the only realistic paths that could alter the outcome, though such revisions occur infrequently once official records are released.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
23°C 100.0%
26°C 49.3%
25°C 48.7%
28°C or higher 47.1%
$38,372 Обс.
$38,372 Обс.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
47%
21°C
1%
22°C
49%
23°C
100%
24°C
1%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
47%
23°C 100.0%
26°C 49.3%
25°C 48.7%
28°C or higher 47.1%
$38,372 Обс.
$38,372 Обс.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
$2,220 Обс.
1%
19°C
$1,380 Обс.
1%
20°C
$819 Обс.
47%
21°C
$2,786 Обс.
1%
22°C
$1,677 Обс.
49%
23°C
$3,722 Обс.
100%
24°C
$7,233 Обс.
1%
25°C
$8,531 Обс.
49%
26°C
$5,356 Обс.
49%
27°C
$2,252 Обс.
1%
28°C or higher
$2,779 Обс.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16 reflects overwhelming trader consensus on a 23°C minimum, backed by confirmed observations from the Hong Kong Observatory showing nocturnal cooling stabilized at this level under typical May subtropical high-pressure conditions. Regional atmospheric patterns limited stronger radiative cooling, consistent with climatological baselines for the period that place average daily lows near 22–24°C. Model guidance issued in the preceding days aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for variance in final verification. Revised station data or post-event quality checks remain the only realistic paths that could alter the outcome, though such revisions occur infrequently once official records are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$38,372Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16 reflects overwhelming trader consensus on a 23°C minimum, backed by confirmed observations from the Hong Kong Observatory showing nocturnal cooling stabilized at this level under typical May subtropical high-pressure conditions. Regional atmospheric patterns limited stronger radiative cooling, consistent with climatological baselines for the period that place average daily lows near 22–24°C. Model guidance issued in the preceding days aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for variance in final verification. Revised station data or post-event quality checks remain the only realistic paths that could alter the outcome, though such revisions occur infrequently once official records are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$38,372Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThe market for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16 reflects overwhelming trader consensus on a 23°C minimum, backed by confirmed observations from the Hong Kong Observatory showing nocturnal cooling stabilized at this level under typical May subtropical high-pressure conditions. Regional atmospheric patterns limited stronger radiative cooling, consistent with climatological baselines for the period that place average daily lows near 22–24°C. Model guidance issued in the preceding days aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for variance in final verification. Revised station data or post-event quality checks remain the only realistic paths that could alter the outcome, though such revisions occur infrequently once official records are released.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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