Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with May climatology of 24–26°C average lows while reflecting a modest cool anomaly from the prevailing weak monsoon trough. Trader consensus at near-100% for 23°C incorporates confirmed observations through the early morning hours and the narrow range of model outputs. Only an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement revision at official stations could shift the recorded low outside this threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$28,410 Обс.
$28,410 Обс.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$28,410 Обс.
$28,410 Обс.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,261 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$1,089 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$672 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$1,816 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$2,815 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$6,393 Обс.
100%
24°C
$7,748 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$2,338 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,117 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$795 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,366 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with May climatology of 24–26°C average lows while reflecting a modest cool anomaly from the prevailing weak monsoon trough. Trader consensus at near-100% for 23°C incorporates confirmed observations through the early morning hours and the narrow range of model outputs. Only an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement revision at official stations could shift the recorded low outside this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$28,410Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with May climatology of 24–26°C average lows while reflecting a modest cool anomaly from the prevailing weak monsoon trough. Trader consensus at near-100% for 23°C incorporates confirmed observations through the early morning hours and the narrow range of model outputs. Only an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement revision at official stations could shift the recorded low outside this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$28,410Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETCurrent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with May climatology of 24–26°C average lows while reflecting a modest cool anomaly from the prevailing weak monsoon trough. Trader consensus at near-100% for 23°C incorporates confirmed observations through the early morning hours and the narrow range of model outputs. Only an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement revision at official stations could shift the recorded low outside this threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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