Traders have positioned overwhelmingly for a lowest temperature of 23°C in Hong Kong on May 17, reflecting verified overnight readings from the Hong Kong Observatory’s network of meteorological stations. This outcome matches the subtropical climate’s typical late-spring pattern, where persistent southerly flow and high humidity prevent significant radiational cooling, keeping minimums near seasonal norms around 22–24°C. With resolution now based on finalized observational data rather than models, the near-certain market odds indicate little scientific uncertainty remains. Only an extraordinary post-processing revision from the official agency could alter the recorded minimum, an event that historical quality-control records show occurs infrequently.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
23°C 99.6%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$28,520 Обс.
$28,520 Обс.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.6%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$28,520 Обс.
$28,520 Обс.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,271 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$1,089 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$672 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$1,816 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$2,815 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$6,443 Обс.
100%
24°C
$7,748 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$2,338 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,117 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$795 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,416 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have positioned overwhelmingly for a lowest temperature of 23°C in Hong Kong on May 17, reflecting verified overnight readings from the Hong Kong Observatory’s network of meteorological stations. This outcome matches the subtropical climate’s typical late-spring pattern, where persistent southerly flow and high humidity prevent significant radiational cooling, keeping minimums near seasonal norms around 22–24°C. With resolution now based on finalized observational data rather than models, the near-certain market odds indicate little scientific uncertainty remains. Only an extraordinary post-processing revision from the official agency could alter the recorded minimum, an event that historical quality-control records show occurs infrequently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$28,520Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have positioned overwhelmingly for a lowest temperature of 23°C in Hong Kong on May 17, reflecting verified overnight readings from the Hong Kong Observatory’s network of meteorological stations. This outcome matches the subtropical climate’s typical late-spring pattern, where persistent southerly flow and high humidity prevent significant radiational cooling, keeping minimums near seasonal norms around 22–24°C. With resolution now based on finalized observational data rather than models, the near-certain market odds indicate little scientific uncertainty remains. Only an extraordinary post-processing revision from the official agency could alter the recorded minimum, an event that historical quality-control records show occurs infrequently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$28,520Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETTraders have positioned overwhelmingly for a lowest temperature of 23°C in Hong Kong on May 17, reflecting verified overnight readings from the Hong Kong Observatory’s network of meteorological stations. This outcome matches the subtropical climate’s typical late-spring pattern, where persistent southerly flow and high humidity prevent significant radiational cooling, keeping minimums near seasonal norms around 22–24°C. With resolution now based on finalized observational data rather than models, the near-certain market odds indicate little scientific uncertainty remains. Only an extraordinary post-processing revision from the official agency could alter the recorded minimum, an event that historical quality-control records show occurs infrequently.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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