Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate overnight lows in Munich around 10–11°C for September 19 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, yet ensemble spreads in ECMWF and ICON runs show potential for greater radiative cooling if skies clear more than expected or for milder readings if Atlantic moisture increases. This near-even split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects model divergence on boundary-layer stability and dew-point depression rather than a single dominant trend. Historical September minima average near 10°C, with clear, calm nights enabling sharper drops via longwave radiation loss. Traders are monitoring the next DWD and ECMWF updates for refinements to cloud cover and wind forecasts ahead of the overnight period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on September 19?
6°C or below 100%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
6°C or below
100%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
19%
11°C
11%
12°C
7%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
5%
6°C or below 100%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
6°C or below
100%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
19%
11°C
11%
12°C
7%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate overnight lows in Munich around 10–11°C for September 19 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, yet ensemble spreads in ECMWF and ICON runs show potential for greater radiative cooling if skies clear more than expected or for milder readings if Atlantic moisture increases. This near-even split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects model divergence on boundary-layer stability and dew-point depression rather than a single dominant trend. Historical September minima average near 10°C, with clear, calm nights enabling sharper drops via longwave radiation loss. Traders are monitoring the next DWD and ECMWF updates for refinements to cloud cover and wind forecasts ahead of the overnight period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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