**Trader consensus in this market heavily favors a Tokyo overnight low of 20–21°C on June 14, 2026, reflecting the latest model guidance and seasonal climatology.** Mid-June marks the onset of the East Asian rainy season (tsuyu or baiu front) across the Kanto region, which typically delivers persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light rain or showers that suppress daytime heating and limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official Japan Meteorological Agency normals list an average minimum of 18.7°C for the date, while current ensemble forecasts from JMA, AccuWeather, and other global models converge on overnight lows of 19–21°C under overcast or mostly cloudy skies with highs near 27–28°C. Recent observations and model runs show no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive temperatures toward the 18°C or lower tail outcomes, keeping those probabilities minimal. The modest edge for 21°C over 20°C likely stems from the most recent short-range guidance incorporating slightly warmer boundary-layer moisture and reduced nocturnal cooling. Resolution will hinge on the official JMA minimum recorded at the Tokyo station, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour forecast updates most heavily given the short time horizon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
21°C 90%
20°C 12%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
$18,050 Обс.
$18,050 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
12%
21°C
90%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 90%
20°C 12%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
$18,050 Обс.
$18,050 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
16°C or below
$713 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$1,896 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$1,138 Обс.
1%
19°C
$2,098 Обс.
1%
20°C
$1,133 Обс.
12%
21°C
$4,695 Обс.
90%
22°C
$3,586 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,454 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,055 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$350 Обс.
<1%
26°C or higher
$300 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this market heavily favors a Tokyo overnight low of 20–21°C on June 14, 2026, reflecting the latest model guidance and seasonal climatology.** Mid-June marks the onset of the East Asian rainy season (tsuyu or baiu front) across the Kanto region, which typically delivers persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light rain or showers that suppress daytime heating and limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official Japan Meteorological Agency normals list an average minimum of 18.7°C for the date, while current ensemble forecasts from JMA, AccuWeather, and other global models converge on overnight lows of 19–21°C under overcast or mostly cloudy skies with highs near 27–28°C.
Recent observations and model runs show no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive temperatures toward the 18°C or lower tail outcomes, keeping those probabilities minimal. The modest edge for 21°C over 20°C likely stems from the most recent short-range guidance incorporating slightly warmer boundary-layer moisture and reduced nocturnal cooling. Resolution will hinge on the official JMA minimum recorded at the Tokyo station, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour forecast updates most heavily given the short time horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,050Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this market heavily favors a Tokyo overnight low of 20–21°C on June 14, 2026, reflecting the latest model guidance and seasonal climatology.** Mid-June marks the onset of the East Asian rainy season (tsuyu or baiu front) across the Kanto region, which typically delivers persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light rain or showers that suppress daytime heating and limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official Japan Meteorological Agency normals list an average minimum of 18.7°C for the date, while current ensemble forecasts from JMA, AccuWeather, and other global models converge on overnight lows of 19–21°C under overcast or mostly cloudy skies with highs near 27–28°C.
Recent observations and model runs show no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive temperatures toward the 18°C or lower tail outcomes, keeping those probabilities minimal. The modest edge for 21°C over 20°C likely stems from the most recent short-range guidance incorporating slightly warmer boundary-layer moisture and reduced nocturnal cooling. Resolution will hinge on the official JMA minimum recorded at the Tokyo station, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour forecast updates most heavily given the short time horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$18,050Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in this market heavily favors a Tokyo overnight low of 20–21°C on June 14, 2026, reflecting the latest model guidance and seasonal climatology.** Mid-June marks the onset of the East Asian rainy season (tsuyu or baiu front) across the Kanto region, which typically delivers persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light rain or showers that suppress daytime heating and limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official Japan Meteorological Agency normals list an average minimum of 18.7°C for the date, while current ensemble forecasts from JMA, AccuWeather, and other global models converge on overnight lows of 19–21°C under overcast or mostly cloudy skies with highs near 27–28°C. Recent observations and model runs show no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive temperatures toward the 18°C or lower tail outcomes, keeping those probabilities minimal. The modest edge for 21°C over 20°C likely stems from the most recent short-range guidance incorporating slightly warmer boundary-layer moisture and reduced nocturnal cooling. Resolution will hinge on the official JMA minimum recorded at the Tokyo station, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour forecast updates most heavily given the short time horizon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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