The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued May 14, projects Tokyo's minimum temperature at Haneda Airport station on May 15 precisely at 14°C—aligning with the mid-May climatological normal of 14.7°C and driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge promotes clear skies overnight, fostering radiative cooling toward the dew point under light winds and under 10% precipitation odds, with ensemble model runs from JMA and international sources converging tightly on this value; current early-morning observations further bolster the projection. Realistic challenges include lingering clouds trapping heat to elevate the low to 15°C or more, or excessive clearing yielding a dip to 13°C—both low-probability deviations given the tight forecast uncertainty range. Final JMA data release later today will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 15?
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$20,680 Обс.
$20,680 Обс.
May 15, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$20,680 Обс.
$20,680 Обс.
May 15, 2026
12°C or below
$3,046 Обс.
No
13°C
$6,891 Обс.
No
14°C
$2,555 Обс.
Yes
15°C
$1,069 Обс.
No
16°C
$1,062 Обс.
No
17°C
$1,387 Обс.
No
18°C
$1,629 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,235 Обс.
No
20°C
$565 Обс.
No
21°C
$874 Обс.
No
22°C or higher
$366 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued May 14, projects Tokyo's minimum temperature at Haneda Airport station on May 15 precisely at 14°C—aligning with the mid-May climatological normal of 14.7°C and driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge promotes clear skies overnight, fostering radiative cooling toward the dew point under light winds and under 10% precipitation odds, with ensemble model runs from JMA and international sources converging tightly on this value; current early-morning observations further bolster the projection. Realistic challenges include lingering clouds trapping heat to elevate the low to 15°C or more, or excessive clearing yielding a dip to 13°C—both low-probability deviations given the tight forecast uncertainty range. Final JMA data release later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$20,680Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued May 14, projects Tokyo's minimum temperature at Haneda Airport station on May 15 precisely at 14°C—aligning with the mid-May climatological normal of 14.7°C and driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge promotes clear skies overnight, fostering radiative cooling toward the dew point under light winds and under 10% precipitation odds, with ensemble model runs from JMA and international sources converging tightly on this value; current early-morning observations further bolster the projection. Realistic challenges include lingering clouds trapping heat to elevate the low to 15°C or more, or excessive clearing yielding a dip to 13°C—both low-probability deviations given the tight forecast uncertainty range. Final JMA data release later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$20,680Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued May 14, projects Tokyo's minimum temperature at Haneda Airport station on May 15 precisely at 14°C—aligning with the mid-May climatological normal of 14.7°C and driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge promotes clear skies overnight, fostering radiative cooling toward the dew point under light winds and under 10% precipitation odds, with ensemble model runs from JMA and international sources converging tightly on this value; current early-morning observations further bolster the projection. Realistic challenges include lingering clouds trapping heat to elevate the low to 15°C or more, or excessive clearing yielding a dip to 13°C—both low-probability deviations given the tight forecast uncertainty range. Final JMA data release later today will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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