Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election due to its structural advantages, including control of most governorships up for renewal, extensive territorial organization, and alignment with President Claudia Sheinbaum’s high approval ratings. Recent opinion polls consistently show Morena capturing 38–45 percent national support, well ahead of PAN and other parties, reflecting sustained voter preference for the ruling coalition ahead of the contest for all 500 seats. Opposition parties remain fragmented, with limited prospects for coordinated gains in direct or proportional representation districts. Candidate selection processes within Morena have begun without major fractures, while broader economic and security conditions continue to favor the incumbent movement. These factors have kept implied probabilities stable near current levels.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMorena 89.8%
PAN 7.4%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$98,891 Обс.
$98,891 Обс.
Jun 5, 2027
Morena
90%
PAN
7%
PRI
1%
MC
<1%
PT
<1%
PVEM
<1%
Morena 89.8%
PAN 7.4%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$98,891 Обс.
$98,891 Обс.
Jun 5, 2027
Morena
$55,412 Обс.
90%
PAN
$15,664 Обс.
7%
PRI
$7,219 Обс.
1%
MC
$8,408 Обс.
<1%
PT
$6,047 Обс.
<1%
PVEM
$6,141 Обс.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election due to its structural advantages, including control of most governorships up for renewal, extensive territorial organization, and alignment with President Claudia Sheinbaum’s high approval ratings. Recent opinion polls consistently show Morena capturing 38–45 percent national support, well ahead of PAN and other parties, reflecting sustained voter preference for the ruling coalition ahead of the contest for all 500 seats. Opposition parties remain fragmented, with limited prospects for coordinated gains in direct or proportional representation districts. Candidate selection processes within Morena have begun without major fractures, while broader economic and security conditions continue to favor the incumbent movement. These factors have kept implied probabilities stable near current levels.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Обсяг
$98,891Дата завершення
Jun 6, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election due to its structural advantages, including control of most governorships up for renewal, extensive territorial organization, and alignment with President Claudia Sheinbaum’s high approval ratings. Recent opinion polls consistently show Morena capturing 38–45 percent national support, well ahead of PAN and other parties, reflecting sustained voter preference for the ruling coalition ahead of the contest for all 500 seats. Opposition parties remain fragmented, with limited prospects for coordinated gains in direct or proportional representation districts. Candidate selection processes within Morena have begun without major fractures, while broader economic and security conditions continue to favor the incumbent movement. These factors have kept implied probabilities stable near current levels.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Обсяг
$98,891Дата завершення
Jun 6, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election due to its structural advantages, including control of most governorships up for renewal, extensive territorial organization, and alignment with President Claudia Sheinbaum’s high approval ratings. Recent opinion polls consistently show Morena capturing 38–45 percent national support, well ahead of PAN and other parties, reflecting sustained voter preference for the ruling coalition ahead of the contest for all 500 seats. Opposition parties remain fragmented, with limited prospects for coordinated gains in direct or proportional representation districts. Candidate selection processes within Morena have begun without major fractures, while broader economic and security conditions continue to favor the incumbent movement. These factors have kept implied probabilities stable near current levels.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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