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Політика·Бразилія

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place
Політика·Бразилія

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

Marília Campos 47%

Gustavo Galassi 46%

Manoel Carvalho 46%

Tião Pessoa 44%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Marília Campos 47%

Gustavo Galassi 46%

Manoel Carvalho 46%

Tião Pessoa 44%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$20 Обс.

47%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$20 Обс.

46%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$20 Обс.

46%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$20 Обс.

44%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$20 Обс.

42%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$20 Обс.

41%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$20 Обс.

38%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$20 Обс.

36%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$69 Обс.

36%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$20 Обс.

34%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$20 Обс.

21%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$61 Обс.

21%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$20 Обс.

18%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$20 Обс.

16%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$40 Обс.

42%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$20 Обс.

41%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$40 Обс.

40%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The contest for second place in the Minas Gerais Senate race remains tightly fragmented, with trader consensus assigning similar implied probabilities across a wide field of contenders. Recent July polling from Quaest and others shows Marília Campos (PT) leading overall but no single candidate dominating the battle for the remaining seat, as support scatters among names including Aécio Neves (PSDB, prior to any withdrawal), Carlos Viana (PSD), Marcelo Aro (PP), and Domingos Sávio (PL). This dispersion, combined with the first-past-the-post system electing two senators on October 4 and ongoing party realignments ahead of the October deadline, sustains high uncertainty. Late shifts in alliances, turnout among key blocs, or further candidate exits could quickly alter positioning before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$470
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The contest for second place in the Minas Gerais Senate race remains tightly fragmented, with trader consensus assigning similar implied probabilities across a wide field of contenders. Recent July polling from Quaest and others shows Marília Campos (PT) leading overall but no single candidate dominating the battle for the remaining seat, as support scatters among names including Aécio Neves (PSDB, prior to any withdrawal), Carlos Viana (PSD), Marcelo Aro (PP), and Domingos Sávio (PL). This dispersion, combined with the first-past-the-post system electing two senators on October 4 and ongoing party realignments ahead of the October deadline, sustains high uncertainty. Late shifts in alliances, turnout among key blocs, or further candidate exits could quickly alter positioning before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$470
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Пов'язане

icon for Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

36%
icon for Will Mauro Mendes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

Will Mauro Mendes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

27%
icon for Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?

Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?

28%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 17 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Marília Campos» з 47%, далі «Gustavo Galassi» з 46%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 17, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place», перегляньте 17 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place» — «Marília Campos» з 47%. Наступний — «Gustavo Galassi» з 46%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.