Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Minas Gerais’s two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) and Aécio Neves (PSDB) frequently topping or tying scenarios at 16-20%, followed closely by Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP) in the 10-16% range. The August 16 start of official campaigning and absence of a dominant incumbent or consolidated coalition have kept support dispersed across left, center, and right-leaning options. This broad distribution of preferences sustains low implied probabilities for any single name in the 1st-place market, as modest shifts in alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or late endorsements could reorder the top tier before the October 4 vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMinas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Marco Antônio Superman 21%
Domingos Sávio 20%
Gustavo Galassi 20%
Juiz Ramon Moreira 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Marco Antônio Superman
21%
Domingos Sávio
20%
Gustavo Galassi
20%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
19%
Jordano Metalúrgico
19%
Ana Luiza do MLB
19%
Victória Mello Vic
18%
Carlos Viana
18%
Arcanjo Pimenta
18%
Manoel Carvalho
18%
Fidélis Alcântara
18%
Áurea Carolina
16%
Tião Pessoa
21%
Marcelo Heringer
22%
Marcelo Aro
19%
Carlin Moura
18%
Marília Campos
36%
Marco Antônio Superman 21%
Domingos Sávio 20%
Gustavo Galassi 20%
Juiz Ramon Moreira 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Marco Antônio Superman
$46 Обс.
21%
Domingos Sávio
$46 Обс.
20%
Gustavo Galassi
$46 Обс.
20%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
$46 Обс.
19%
Jordano Metalúrgico
$46 Обс.
19%
Ana Luiza do MLB
$46 Обс.
19%
Victória Mello Vic
$46 Обс.
18%
Carlos Viana
$46 Обс.
18%
Arcanjo Pimenta
$46 Обс.
18%
Manoel Carvalho
$119 Обс.
18%
Fidélis Alcântara
$66 Обс.
18%
Áurea Carolina
$86 Обс.
16%
Tião Pessoa
$46 Обс.
21%
Marcelo Heringer
$75 Обс.
22%
Marcelo Aro
$46 Обс.
19%
Carlin Moura
$46 Обс.
18%
Marília Campos
$66 Обс.
36%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Minas Gerais’s two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) and Aécio Neves (PSDB) frequently topping or tying scenarios at 16-20%, followed closely by Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP) in the 10-16% range. The August 16 start of official campaigning and absence of a dominant incumbent or consolidated coalition have kept support dispersed across left, center, and right-leaning options. This broad distribution of preferences sustains low implied probabilities for any single name in the 1st-place market, as modest shifts in alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or late endorsements could reorder the top tier before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$960Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Minas Gerais’s two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) and Aécio Neves (PSDB) frequently topping or tying scenarios at 16-20%, followed closely by Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP) in the 10-16% range. The August 16 start of official campaigning and absence of a dominant incumbent or consolidated coalition have kept support dispersed across left, center, and right-leaning options. This broad distribution of preferences sustains low implied probabilities for any single name in the 1st-place market, as modest shifts in alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or late endorsements could reorder the top tier before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$960Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Minas Gerais’s two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) and Aécio Neves (PSDB) frequently topping or tying scenarios at 16-20%, followed closely by Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP) in the 10-16% range. The August 16 start of official campaigning and absence of a dominant incumbent or consolidated coalition have kept support dispersed across left, center, and right-leaning options. This broad distribution of preferences sustains low implied probabilities for any single name in the 1st-place market, as modest shifts in alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or late endorsements could reorder the top tier before the October 4 vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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