Recent polling and the early campaign phase ahead of the October 5 vote show a competitive multi-party contest with high undecided rates near 49 percent, creating uncertainty around mobilization and participation levels. Historical provincial turnout near 66 percent in 2022, combined with ongoing Élections Québec registration drives, expanded advance voting from September 25, and a new 127-riding map, anchors expectations in the mid-60s range. Factors such as voter fatigue from economic pressures, health system concerns, and sovereignty debates could suppress turnout, while the prospect of a minority government and tight PQ-CAQ races in key ridings may encourage greater engagement among core supporters. The spread across 62-74 percent bins reflects these offsetting dynamics and limited late-campaign signals so far.