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Вибори·Первинні

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Вибори·Первинні

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner

Laura Gillen 82%

Nicholas Sciretta 11%

Taylor Darling 5.2%

Gian Jones <1%

Polymarket

$18,825 Обс.

Laura Gillen 82%

Nicholas Sciretta 11%

Taylor Darling 5.2%

Gian Jones <1%

Polymarket

$18,825 Обс.

Laura Gillen

$6,289 Обс.

82%

Nicholas Sciretta

$8,754 Обс.

11%

Taylor Darling

$2,126 Обс.

5%

Gian Jones

$1,656 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Laura Gillen holds a commanding lead in the NY-04 Democratic primary market at 81.5% implied probability, driven by her status as the sitting representative who flipped the seat in 2024, combined with overwhelming fundraising dominance exceeding $2 million in receipts and $1.5 million cash on hand. Party infrastructure support, including from Nassau County Democratic leadership, further bolsters her position ahead of the June 23 primary. Challenger Nicholas Sciretta at 11% and former Assembly member Taylor Darling at 5.3% draw from progressive dissatisfaction over Gillen’s January vote for Department of Homeland Security funding that included ICE appropriations, yet the fragmented field and absence of public polling limit their traction in this low-turnout contest. Gian Jones trails at 0.4% with minimal reported resources.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$18,825
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Laura Gillen holds a commanding lead in the NY-04 Democratic primary market at 81.5% implied probability, driven by her status as the sitting representative who flipped the seat in 2024, combined with overwhelming fundraising dominance exceeding $2 million in receipts and $1.5 million cash on hand. Party infrastructure support, including from Nassau County Democratic leadership, further bolsters her position ahead of the June 23 primary. Challenger Nicholas Sciretta at 11% and former Assembly member Taylor Darling at 5.3% draw from progressive dissatisfaction over Gillen’s January vote for Department of Homeland Security funding that included ICE appropriations, yet the fragmented field and absence of public polling limit their traction in this low-turnout contest. Gian Jones trails at 0.4% with minimal reported resources.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$18,825
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Laura Gillen» з 82%, далі «Nicholas Sciretta» з 11%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $18.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 1, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Laura Gillen» з 82%. Наступний — «Nicholas Sciretta» з 11%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.