Cid Gomes leads the Ceará Senate race for first place with strong trader consensus, reflecting his position as the incumbent PSB senator and consistent top ranking in late-September polls such as Datafolha (23%), Real Time Big Data (26%), and AtlasIntel (26.3% consolidated). These surveys show him ahead or tied for the lead in voter intentions for the two available seats, while Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) trail and remain competitive mainly for second place. Wagner faces added pressure from a recent TSE liminar restricting his campaign activities amid party disputes. Lower-polling candidates including Alcides Fernandes register single-digit or minimal support, aligning with their distant market odds. The election occurs in early October.