Trader consensus favors "No" at 76.5% implied probability for a confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15, driven by CDC surveillance data showing zero laboratory-confirmed hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS) cases in 2024, 2025, or 2026 as of the latest April update, amid historical averages of 20–40 sporadic annual cases tied to deer mouse exposure in the Southwest. Recent international attention stems from a May cruise ship cluster of Andes virus (eight cases, three deaths abroad), but CDC assesses US risk as extremely low with no linked domestic cases, as this South American strain differs from endemic US Sin Nombre virus and lacks efficient local transmission. With just two days remaining, short incubation (1–8 weeks) and reporting lags make new confirmation unlikely absent an unreported exposure cluster; monitor upcoming NNDSS weekly tables for shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
$743,030 KL.
$743,030 KL.
May 15, 2026
$743,030 KL.
$743,030 KL.
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus favors "No" at 76.5% implied probability for a confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15, driven by CDC surveillance data showing zero laboratory-confirmed hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS) cases in 2024, 2025, or 2026 as of the latest April update, amid historical averages of 20–40 sporadic annual cases tied to deer mouse exposure in the Southwest. Recent international attention stems from a May cruise ship cluster of Andes virus (eight cases, three deaths abroad), but CDC assesses US risk as extremely low with no linked domestic cases, as this South American strain differs from endemic US Sin Nombre virus and lacks efficient local transmission. With just two days remaining, short incubation (1–8 weeks) and reporting lags make new confirmation unlikely absent an unreported exposure cluster; monitor upcoming NNDSS weekly tables for shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Thị trường mở: May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Khối lượng
$743,030Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus favors "No" at 76.5% implied probability for a confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15, driven by CDC surveillance data showing zero laboratory-confirmed hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS) cases in 2024, 2025, or 2026 as of the latest April update, amid historical averages of 20–40 sporadic annual cases tied to deer mouse exposure in the Southwest. Recent international attention stems from a May cruise ship cluster of Andes virus (eight cases, three deaths abroad), but CDC assesses US risk as extremely low with no linked domestic cases, as this South American strain differs from endemic US Sin Nombre virus and lacks efficient local transmission. With just two days remaining, short incubation (1–8 weeks) and reporting lags make new confirmation unlikely absent an unreported exposure cluster; monitor upcoming NNDSS weekly tables for shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Khối lượng
$743,477Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 76.5% implied probability for a confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15, driven by CDC surveillance data showing zero laboratory-confirmed hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS) cases in 2024, 2025, or 2026 as of the latest April update, amid historical averages of 20–40 sporadic annual cases tied to deer mouse exposure in the Southwest. Recent international attention stems from a May cruise ship cluster of Andes virus (eight cases, three deaths abroad), but CDC assesses US risk as extremely low with no linked domestic cases, as this South American strain differs from endemic US Sin Nombre virus and lacks efficient local transmission. With just two days remaining, short incubation (1–8 weeks) and reporting lags make new confirmation unlikely absent an unreported exposure cluster; monitor upcoming NNDSS weekly tables for shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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