Persistent inflation pressures, driven by energy price spikes amid geopolitical tensions, and a resilient U.S. economy with solid job gains have tilted near-term Fed expectations toward possible rate hikes later in 2026, keeping the Polymarket closely balanced near 50%. The July FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% with three dissents favoring a 25 basis point increase, while futures markets now price modest tightening by year-end. Upcoming September CPI data and the September 16-17 FOMC meeting represent key swing catalysts that could shift trader consensus on whether the policy rate will rise at least once before December 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó
47% khả năng
$7,549,347 KL.
$7,549,347 KL.
Dec 9, 2026
Có
47% khả năng
$7,549,347 KL.
$7,549,347 KL.
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures, driven by energy price spikes amid geopolitical tensions, and a resilient U.S. economy with solid job gains have tilted near-term Fed expectations toward possible rate hikes later in 2026, keeping the Polymarket closely balanced near 50%. The July FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% with three dissents favoring a 25 basis point increase, while futures markets now price modest tightening by year-end. Upcoming September CPI data and the September 16-17 FOMC meeting represent key swing catalysts that could shift trader consensus on whether the policy rate will rise at least once before December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,549,347Ngày kết thúc
Dec 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures, driven by energy price spikes amid geopolitical tensions, and a resilient U.S. economy with solid job gains have tilted near-term Fed expectations toward possible rate hikes later in 2026, keeping the Polymarket closely balanced near 50%. The July FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% with three dissents favoring a 25 basis point increase, while futures markets now price modest tightening by year-end. Upcoming September CPI data and the September 16-17 FOMC meeting represent key swing catalysts that could shift trader consensus on whether the policy rate will rise at least once before December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$7,549,347Ngày kết thúc
Dec 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures, driven by energy price spikes amid geopolitical tensions, and a resilient U.S. economy with solid job gains have tilted near-term Fed expectations toward possible rate hikes later in 2026, keeping the Polymarket closely balanced near 50%. The July FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% with three dissents favoring a 25 basis point increase, while futures markets now price modest tightening by year-end. Upcoming September CPI data and the September 16-17 FOMC meeting represent key swing catalysts that could shift trader consensus on whether the policy rate will rise at least once before December 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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