Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings and resilient consumer spending have lifted market-implied odds of a potential Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026, yet the 68.5% trader consensus favoring no hike reflects the central bank's data-dependent stance and March dot plot projections that still envision holding the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through year-end. Persistent core PCE pressures above target and geopolitical tensions have tempered cut expectations while keeping upside risks to inflation below the threshold for an immediate policy shift. Traders are monitoring the June FOMC meeting and upcoming April-May CPI and PCE releases for clarity on whether sticky price trends will force a reassessment of the neutral rate path.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó
$1,103,562 KL.
$1,103,562 KL.
Dec 9, 2026
Có
$1,103,562 KL.
$1,103,562 KL.
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings and resilient consumer spending have lifted market-implied odds of a potential Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026, yet the 68.5% trader consensus favoring no hike reflects the central bank's data-dependent stance and March dot plot projections that still envision holding the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through year-end. Persistent core PCE pressures above target and geopolitical tensions have tempered cut expectations while keeping upside risks to inflation below the threshold for an immediate policy shift. Traders are monitoring the June FOMC meeting and upcoming April-May CPI and PCE releases for clarity on whether sticky price trends will force a reassessment of the neutral rate path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,103,562Ngày kết thúc
Dec 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings and resilient consumer spending have lifted market-implied odds of a potential Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026, yet the 68.5% trader consensus favoring no hike reflects the central bank's data-dependent stance and March dot plot projections that still envision holding the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through year-end. Persistent core PCE pressures above target and geopolitical tensions have tempered cut expectations while keeping upside risks to inflation below the threshold for an immediate policy shift. Traders are monitoring the June FOMC meeting and upcoming April-May CPI and PCE releases for clarity on whether sticky price trends will force a reassessment of the neutral rate path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,103,562Ngày kết thúc
Dec 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings and resilient consumer spending have lifted market-implied odds of a potential Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026, yet the 68.5% trader consensus favoring no hike reflects the central bank's data-dependent stance and March dot plot projections that still envision holding the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through year-end. Persistent core PCE pressures above target and geopolitical tensions have tempered cut expectations while keeping upside risks to inflation below the threshold for an immediate policy shift. Traders are monitoring the June FOMC meeting and upcoming April-May CPI and PCE releases for clarity on whether sticky price trends will force a reassessment of the neutral rate path.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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