Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the highest implied probability among traders due to its position as the primary coalition aligned with transitional authorities following the November 2025 coup and disputed prior vote. The wide field stems from proportional representation across 102 seats, which favors smaller parties in a fragmented system, alongside exclusions of major groups like PAIGC in recent cycles and limited public polling. FLING, PS, MUNDO-GB, FREPASNA, and PT trail because they lack comparable coalition breadth or recent institutional positioning. Consolidation behind one outcome could occur through late alliances, candidate withdrawals, or clarification of transitional rules ahead of the December 6 contest, though military oversight and ongoing instability continue to shape assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGuinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
FLING 8.5%
PS 5.6%
MUNDO-GB 4.7%
FREPASNA 3.7%
$156,672 KL.
$156,672 KL.
Nov 23, 2025
FLING
9%
PS
6%
MUNDO-GB
5%
FREPASNA
4%
PT
3%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
31%
FLING 8.5%
PS 5.6%
MUNDO-GB 4.7%
FREPASNA 3.7%
$156,672 KL.
$156,672 KL.
Nov 23, 2025
FLING
$12,805 KL.
9%
PS
$24,851 KL.
6%
MUNDO-GB
$22,722 KL.
5%
FREPASNA
$26,649 KL.
4%
PT
$21,794 KL.
3%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$47,851 KL.
31%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the highest implied probability among traders due to its position as the primary coalition aligned with transitional authorities following the November 2025 coup and disputed prior vote. The wide field stems from proportional representation across 102 seats, which favors smaller parties in a fragmented system, alongside exclusions of major groups like PAIGC in recent cycles and limited public polling. FLING, PS, MUNDO-GB, FREPASNA, and PT trail because they lack comparable coalition breadth or recent institutional positioning. Consolidation behind one outcome could occur through late alliances, candidate withdrawals, or clarification of transitional rules ahead of the December 6 contest, though military oversight and ongoing instability continue to shape assessments.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Thị trường mở: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Khối lượng
$156,672Ngày kết thúc
Nov 23, 2025Thị trường mở
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the highest implied probability among traders due to its position as the primary coalition aligned with transitional authorities following the November 2025 coup and disputed prior vote. The wide field stems from proportional representation across 102 seats, which favors smaller parties in a fragmented system, alongside exclusions of major groups like PAIGC in recent cycles and limited public polling. FLING, PS, MUNDO-GB, FREPASNA, and PT trail because they lack comparable coalition breadth or recent institutional positioning. Consolidation behind one outcome could occur through late alliances, candidate withdrawals, or clarification of transitional rules ahead of the December 6 contest, though military oversight and ongoing instability continue to shape assessments.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Khối lượng
$156,672Ngày kết thúc
Nov 23, 2025Thị trường mở
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the highest implied probability among traders due to its position as the primary coalition aligned with transitional authorities following the November 2025 coup and disputed prior vote. The wide field stems from proportional representation across 102 seats, which favors smaller parties in a fragmented system, alongside exclusions of major groups like PAIGC in recent cycles and limited public polling. FLING, PS, MUNDO-GB, FREPASNA, and PT trail because they lack comparable coalition breadth or recent institutional positioning. Consolidation behind one outcome could occur through late alliances, candidate withdrawals, or clarification of transitional rules ahead of the December 6 contest, though military oversight and ongoing instability continue to shape assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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