The near-unanimous trader consensus for a high temperature of 56°F or higher in Chicago on May 14 reflects strong alignment across National Weather Service (NWS) Chicago forecasts and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting daytime peaks near 58°F at O'Hare International Airport—the market's official observation site. This positioning stems from a warming trend after today's relatively cool highs around 54°F, as building high pressure brings mostly sunny skies, light northeast winds, and efficient diurnal heating from overnight lows near 40°F. Historical May 14 normals hover around 70°F, providing ample climatological precedent. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this—like persistent lake-effect clouds or an unexpected frontal boundary—appear improbable per current guidance, with key updates from evening model runs expected to refine confidence further.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
56°F or higher 99.6%
54-55°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
MỚI
$47,208 KL.
MỚI
$47,208 KL.
May 14, 2026
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
100%
56°F or higher 99.6%
54-55°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
MỚI
$47,208 KL.
MỚI
$47,208 KL.
May 14, 2026
37°F or below
$5,479 KL.
<1%
38-39°F
$2,982 KL.
<1%
40-41°F
$701 KL.
<1%
42-43°F
$2,150 KL.
<1%
44-45°F
$2,188 KL.
<1%
46-47°F
$2,198 KL.
<1%
48-49°F
$3,181 KL.
<1%
50-51°F
$2,508 KL.
<1%
52-53°F
$2,804 KL.
<1%
54-55°F
$4,466 KL.
<1%
56°F or higher
$18,551 KL.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The near-unanimous trader consensus for a high temperature of 56°F or higher in Chicago on May 14 reflects strong alignment across National Weather Service (NWS) Chicago forecasts and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting daytime peaks near 58°F at O'Hare International Airport—the market's official observation site. This positioning stems from a warming trend after today's relatively cool highs around 54°F, as building high pressure brings mostly sunny skies, light northeast winds, and efficient diurnal heating from overnight lows near 40°F. Historical May 14 normals hover around 70°F, providing ample climatological precedent. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this—like persistent lake-effect clouds or an unexpected frontal boundary—appear improbable per current guidance, with key updates from evening model runs expected to refine confidence further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Khối lượng
$47,208Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The near-unanimous trader consensus for a high temperature of 56°F or higher in Chicago on May 14 reflects strong alignment across National Weather Service (NWS) Chicago forecasts and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting daytime peaks near 58°F at O'Hare International Airport—the market's official observation site. This positioning stems from a warming trend after today's relatively cool highs around 54°F, as building high pressure brings mostly sunny skies, light northeast winds, and efficient diurnal heating from overnight lows near 40°F. Historical May 14 normals hover around 70°F, providing ample climatological precedent. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this—like persistent lake-effect clouds or an unexpected frontal boundary—appear improbable per current guidance, with key updates from evening model runs expected to refine confidence further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$47,208Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The near-unanimous trader consensus for a high temperature of 56°F or higher in Chicago on May 14 reflects strong alignment across National Weather Service (NWS) Chicago forecasts and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting daytime peaks near 58°F at O'Hare International Airport—the market's official observation site. This positioning stems from a warming trend after today's relatively cool highs around 54°F, as building high pressure brings mostly sunny skies, light northeast winds, and efficient diurnal heating from overnight lows near 40°F. Historical May 14 normals hover around 70°F, providing ample climatological precedent. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this—like persistent lake-effect clouds or an unexpected frontal boundary—appear improbable per current guidance, with key updates from evening model runs expected to refine confidence further.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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