Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$69,597 KL.
$69,597 KL.
May 14, 2026
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$69,597 KL.
$69,597 KL.
May 14, 2026
37°F or below
$6,479 KL.
No
38-39°F
$2,982 KL.
No
40-41°F
$701 KL.
No
42-43°F
$2,150 KL.
No
44-45°F
$2,188 KL.
No
46-47°F
$2,198 KL.
No
48-49°F
$3,190 KL.
No
50-51°F
$2,508 KL.
No
52-53°F
$3,381 KL.
No
54-55°F
$4,709 KL.
No
56°F or higher
$39,110 KL.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Khối lượng
$69,597Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$69,597Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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