Current forecasts from sources like INMET and global models point to a daytime high near 24°C in São Paulo on August 12, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at that level. August's climatological average high of 23–25°C reflects the dry winter season under subtropical high pressure, with limited moisture and moderate solar heating moderated by urban effects and possible light cloud cover. Recent INMET outlooks indicate slightly above-average temperatures across much of Brazil this month, supporting the clustering around 24–25°C outcomes, while steering patterns show no strong cold fronts expected to suppress maxima below 23°C. Model consensus and historical analogs for early-to-mid August reinforce limited upside beyond 26°C without anomalous warming.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 12?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 12?
24°C 45%
25°C 24%
23°C 16%
26°C 9%
MỚI
$12,039 KL.
MỚI
$12,039 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
16%
24°C
45%
25°C
24%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
25°C 24%
23°C 16%
26°C 9%
MỚI
$12,039 KL.
MỚI
$12,039 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
$255 KL.
<1%
20°C
$254 KL.
1%
21°C
$1,682 KL.
2%
22°C
$1,012 KL.
7%
23°C
$757 KL.
16%
24°C
$2,975 KL.
45%
25°C
$703 KL.
24%
26°C
$567 KL.
9%
27°C
$469 KL.
2%
28°C
$388 KL.
1%
29°C or higher
$2,977 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like INMET and global models point to a daytime high near 24°C in São Paulo on August 12, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at that level. August's climatological average high of 23–25°C reflects the dry winter season under subtropical high pressure, with limited moisture and moderate solar heating moderated by urban effects and possible light cloud cover. Recent INMET outlooks indicate slightly above-average temperatures across much of Brazil this month, supporting the clustering around 24–25°C outcomes, while steering patterns show no strong cold fronts expected to suppress maxima below 23°C. Model consensus and historical analogs for early-to-mid August reinforce limited upside beyond 26°C without anomalous warming.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,039Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like INMET and global models point to a daytime high near 24°C in São Paulo on August 12, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at that level. August's climatological average high of 23–25°C reflects the dry winter season under subtropical high pressure, with limited moisture and moderate solar heating moderated by urban effects and possible light cloud cover. Recent INMET outlooks indicate slightly above-average temperatures across much of Brazil this month, supporting the clustering around 24–25°C outcomes, while steering patterns show no strong cold fronts expected to suppress maxima below 23°C. Model consensus and historical analogs for early-to-mid August reinforce limited upside beyond 26°C without anomalous warming.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,039Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like INMET and global models point to a daytime high near 24°C in São Paulo on August 12, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at that level. August's climatological average high of 23–25°C reflects the dry winter season under subtropical high pressure, with limited moisture and moderate solar heating moderated by urban effects and possible light cloud cover. Recent INMET outlooks indicate slightly above-average temperatures across much of Brazil this month, supporting the clustering around 24–25°C outcomes, while steering patterns show no strong cold fronts expected to suppress maxima below 23°C. Model consensus and historical analogs for early-to-mid August reinforce limited upside beyond 26°C without anomalous warming.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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