The National Weather Service's latest point forecast for Seattle projects a daytime high of 55–57°F on May 15, 2026, anchored by persistent low clouds, steady light rain, and an influx of cool maritime air from the Pacific, suppressing temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of around 65°F. This model consensus across NOAA ensembles has driven trader sentiment to a 99.6% implied probability for 57°F or below, reflecting the skin-in-the-game wisdom of crowds amid minimal diurnal warming potential under overcast skies and southerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing or brief warm air advection, though current synoptic patterns and hourly guidance indicate low likelihood; official Seattle-Tacoma observations will resolve the market by evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on May 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 15?
57°F or below 99.6%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$32,261 KL.
$32,261 KL.
May 15, 2026
57°F or below
100%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
57°F or below 99.6%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$32,261 KL.
$32,261 KL.
May 15, 2026
57°F or below
$7,824 KL.
100%
58-59°F
$5,860 KL.
<1%
60-61°F
$4,354 KL.
1%
62-63°F
$3,240 KL.
1%
64-65°F
$1,527 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,033 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,143 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,382 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,509 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,499 KL.
<1%
76°F or higher
$891 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest point forecast for Seattle projects a daytime high of 55–57°F on May 15, 2026, anchored by persistent low clouds, steady light rain, and an influx of cool maritime air from the Pacific, suppressing temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of around 65°F. This model consensus across NOAA ensembles has driven trader sentiment to a 99.6% implied probability for 57°F or below, reflecting the skin-in-the-game wisdom of crowds amid minimal diurnal warming potential under overcast skies and southerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing or brief warm air advection, though current synoptic patterns and hourly guidance indicate low likelihood; official Seattle-Tacoma observations will resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$32,261Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest point forecast for Seattle projects a daytime high of 55–57°F on May 15, 2026, anchored by persistent low clouds, steady light rain, and an influx of cool maritime air from the Pacific, suppressing temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of around 65°F. This model consensus across NOAA ensembles has driven trader sentiment to a 99.6% implied probability for 57°F or below, reflecting the skin-in-the-game wisdom of crowds amid minimal diurnal warming potential under overcast skies and southerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing or brief warm air advection, though current synoptic patterns and hourly guidance indicate low likelihood; official Seattle-Tacoma observations will resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$32,261Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest point forecast for Seattle projects a daytime high of 55–57°F on May 15, 2026, anchored by persistent low clouds, steady light rain, and an influx of cool maritime air from the Pacific, suppressing temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of around 65°F. This model consensus across NOAA ensembles has driven trader sentiment to a 99.6% implied probability for 57°F or below, reflecting the skin-in-the-game wisdom of crowds amid minimal diurnal warming potential under overcast skies and southerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing or brief warm air advection, though current synoptic patterns and hourly guidance indicate low likelihood; official Seattle-Tacoma observations will resolve the market by evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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