Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers position 28–29°C as the most probable peak daytime temperature in Wuhan on May 17, aligning with the market-implied probabilities of 48.5% and 31.5% respectively. Mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River basin shows typical highs clustering near 26–28°C under light southerly flow, with modest afternoon instability and partial cloud cover potentially capping heating. A slight chance of showers could further suppress maximum readings, while current model consensus shows limited spread around these values. Traders are weighting the latest observational trends and forecast updates heavily, as resolution hinges on official station data for the calendar day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
28°C 49%
29°C 31%
30°C 11%
31°C 4.5%
MỚI
$29,944 KL.
MỚI
$29,944 KL.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
49%
29°C
31%
30°C
11%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 49%
29°C 31%
30°C 11%
31°C 4.5%
MỚI
$29,944 KL.
MỚI
$29,944 KL.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
$3,184 KL.
<1%
25°C
$2,361 KL.
<1%
26°C
$4,529 KL.
<1%
27°C
$9,694 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,533 KL.
49%
29°C
$639 KL.
31%
30°C
$1,017 KL.
11%
31°C
$1,771 KL.
4%
32°C
$3,409 KL.
1%
33°C
$1,036 KL.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,118 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers position 28–29°C as the most probable peak daytime temperature in Wuhan on May 17, aligning with the market-implied probabilities of 48.5% and 31.5% respectively. Mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River basin shows typical highs clustering near 26–28°C under light southerly flow, with modest afternoon instability and partial cloud cover potentially capping heating. A slight chance of showers could further suppress maximum readings, while current model consensus shows limited spread around these values. Traders are weighting the latest observational trends and forecast updates heavily, as resolution hinges on official station data for the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$29,944Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers position 28–29°C as the most probable peak daytime temperature in Wuhan on May 17, aligning with the market-implied probabilities of 48.5% and 31.5% respectively. Mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River basin shows typical highs clustering near 26–28°C under light southerly flow, with modest afternoon instability and partial cloud cover potentially capping heating. A slight chance of showers could further suppress maximum readings, while current model consensus shows limited spread around these values. Traders are weighting the latest observational trends and forecast updates heavily, as resolution hinges on official station data for the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$29,944Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers position 28–29°C as the most probable peak daytime temperature in Wuhan on May 17, aligning with the market-implied probabilities of 48.5% and 31.5% respectively. Mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River basin shows typical highs clustering near 26–28°C under light southerly flow, with modest afternoon instability and partial cloud cover potentially capping heating. A slight chance of showers could further suppress maximum readings, while current model consensus shows limited spread around these values. Traders are weighting the latest observational trends and forecast updates heavily, as resolution hinges on official station data for the calendar day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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