Iran maintains its core position that uranium enrichment remains a sovereign right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, a stance unchanged by recent U.S.-Iran indirect talks and counterproposals that have floated only temporary pauses, limits to 3.5 percent, or stockpile dilution rather than a full termination. Ongoing negotiations, including rounds through early May 2026, show Iran rejecting permanent suspension while U.S. demands center on verifiable handover or regional consortium models instead. Recent military strikes and IAEA reports on Iran's expanded 60 percent stockpile have not produced the concessions needed for an agreement by month's end, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 96.4 percent probability on no. A last-minute sanctions relief package or verified diplomatic shift before May 31 remains the primary scenario that could still alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
$630,145 KL.
$630,145 KL.
May 31, 2026
$630,145 KL.
$630,145 KL.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran maintains its core position that uranium enrichment remains a sovereign right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, a stance unchanged by recent U.S.-Iran indirect talks and counterproposals that have floated only temporary pauses, limits to 3.5 percent, or stockpile dilution rather than a full termination. Ongoing negotiations, including rounds through early May 2026, show Iran rejecting permanent suspension while U.S. demands center on verifiable handover or regional consortium models instead. Recent military strikes and IAEA reports on Iran's expanded 60 percent stockpile have not produced the concessions needed for an agreement by month's end, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 96.4 percent probability on no. A last-minute sanctions relief package or verified diplomatic shift before May 31 remains the primary scenario that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$630,145Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran maintains its core position that uranium enrichment remains a sovereign right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, a stance unchanged by recent U.S.-Iran indirect talks and counterproposals that have floated only temporary pauses, limits to 3.5 percent, or stockpile dilution rather than a full termination. Ongoing negotiations, including rounds through early May 2026, show Iran rejecting permanent suspension while U.S. demands center on verifiable handover or regional consortium models instead. Recent military strikes and IAEA reports on Iran's expanded 60 percent stockpile have not produced the concessions needed for an agreement by month's end, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 96.4 percent probability on no. A last-minute sanctions relief package or verified diplomatic shift before May 31 remains the primary scenario that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$630,145Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran maintains its core position that uranium enrichment remains a sovereign right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, a stance unchanged by recent U.S.-Iran indirect talks and counterproposals that have floated only temporary pauses, limits to 3.5 percent, or stockpile dilution rather than a full termination. Ongoing negotiations, including rounds through early May 2026, show Iran rejecting permanent suspension while U.S. demands center on verifiable handover or regional consortium models instead. Recent military strikes and IAEA reports on Iran's expanded 60 percent stockpile have not produced the concessions needed for an agreement by month's end, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 96.4 percent probability on no. A last-minute sanctions relief package or verified diplomatic shift before May 31 remains the primary scenario that could still alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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