Iran maintains uranium enrichment as a core sovereign right and has rejected demands for full cessation in ongoing indirect talks with the United States mediated partly through Pakistan. Recent Iranian counterproposals focus first on ending the post-conflict blockade and war, deferring nuclear limits—including any pause in enrichment—to later phases, while offering at most temporary restrictions of 10 to 15 years rather than an immediate end. With the May 31 deadline now less than two weeks away and no joint statement or public pledge emerging, trader consensus at 96.8 percent for No reflects these persistent gaps. A late breakthrough, such as Supreme Leader approval for a rapid concession or new IAEA-verified commitments on the highly enriched uranium stockpile, remains the primary scenario that could still shift probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
$630,402 KL.
$630,402 KL.
May 31, 2026
$630,402 KL.
$630,402 KL.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran maintains uranium enrichment as a core sovereign right and has rejected demands for full cessation in ongoing indirect talks with the United States mediated partly through Pakistan. Recent Iranian counterproposals focus first on ending the post-conflict blockade and war, deferring nuclear limits—including any pause in enrichment—to later phases, while offering at most temporary restrictions of 10 to 15 years rather than an immediate end. With the May 31 deadline now less than two weeks away and no joint statement or public pledge emerging, trader consensus at 96.8 percent for No reflects these persistent gaps. A late breakthrough, such as Supreme Leader approval for a rapid concession or new IAEA-verified commitments on the highly enriched uranium stockpile, remains the primary scenario that could still shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$630,402Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran maintains uranium enrichment as a core sovereign right and has rejected demands for full cessation in ongoing indirect talks with the United States mediated partly through Pakistan. Recent Iranian counterproposals focus first on ending the post-conflict blockade and war, deferring nuclear limits—including any pause in enrichment—to later phases, while offering at most temporary restrictions of 10 to 15 years rather than an immediate end. With the May 31 deadline now less than two weeks away and no joint statement or public pledge emerging, trader consensus at 96.8 percent for No reflects these persistent gaps. A late breakthrough, such as Supreme Leader approval for a rapid concession or new IAEA-verified commitments on the highly enriched uranium stockpile, remains the primary scenario that could still shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$630,402Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran maintains uranium enrichment as a core sovereign right and has rejected demands for full cessation in ongoing indirect talks with the United States mediated partly through Pakistan. Recent Iranian counterproposals focus first on ending the post-conflict blockade and war, deferring nuclear limits—including any pause in enrichment—to later phases, while offering at most temporary restrictions of 10 to 15 years rather than an immediate end. With the May 31 deadline now less than two weeks away and no joint statement or public pledge emerging, trader consensus at 96.8 percent for No reflects these persistent gaps. A late breakthrough, such as Supreme Leader approval for a rapid concession or new IAEA-verified commitments on the highly enriched uranium stockpile, remains the primary scenario that could still shift probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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