The Senate's 54-45 confirmation vote for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair earlier this week, including crossover support from Democrat John Fetterman, has locked in President Trump's nomination just days before Jerome Powell's term expires on May 15, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" on withdrawal. This followed a 13-11 Senate Banking Committee approval in late April and a 49-44 cloture vote on May 11, overcoming Democratic scrutiny from figures like Elizabeth Warren over Fed independence. With the process complete and Warsh set to assume the role, only an extraordinary late-breaking scandal, health crisis, or abrupt presidential reversal—none of which show signs—could theoretically reopen withdrawal risks before the deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$305,780 KL.
$305,780 KL.
May 15, 2026
$305,780 KL.
$305,780 KL.
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Senate's 54-45 confirmation vote for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair earlier this week, including crossover support from Democrat John Fetterman, has locked in President Trump's nomination just days before Jerome Powell's term expires on May 15, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" on withdrawal. This followed a 13-11 Senate Banking Committee approval in late April and a 49-44 cloture vote on May 11, overcoming Democratic scrutiny from figures like Elizabeth Warren over Fed independence. With the process complete and Warsh set to assume the role, only an extraordinary late-breaking scandal, health crisis, or abrupt presidential reversal—none of which show signs—could theoretically reopen withdrawal risks before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$305,780Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Senate's 54-45 confirmation vote for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair earlier this week, including crossover support from Democrat John Fetterman, has locked in President Trump's nomination just days before Jerome Powell's term expires on May 15, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" on withdrawal. This followed a 13-11 Senate Banking Committee approval in late April and a 49-44 cloture vote on May 11, overcoming Democratic scrutiny from figures like Elizabeth Warren over Fed independence. With the process complete and Warsh set to assume the role, only an extraordinary late-breaking scandal, health crisis, or abrupt presidential reversal—none of which show signs—could theoretically reopen withdrawal risks before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$305,780Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The Senate's 54-45 confirmation vote for Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair earlier this week, including crossover support from Democrat John Fetterman, has locked in President Trump's nomination just days before Jerome Powell's term expires on May 15, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" on withdrawal. This followed a 13-11 Senate Banking Committee approval in late April and a 49-44 cloture vote on May 11, overcoming Democratic scrutiny from figures like Elizabeth Warren over Fed independence. With the process complete and Warsh set to assume the role, only an extraordinary late-breaking scandal, health crisis, or abrupt presidential reversal—none of which show signs—could theoretically reopen withdrawal risks before the deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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