The trader consensus favoring no new accession by June 30 reflects Saudi Arabia’s repeated insistence on a viable path to a Palestinian state before any normalization with Israel, a position unchanged despite President Trump’s public urging during his March 2026 appearance in Miami. Kazakhstan formalized its entry earlier in 2026 and Somaliland pledged ties after Israel’s December 2025 recognition, yet neither development has triggered parallel breakthroughs with other candidates such as Oman or additional Central Asian states. With roughly six weeks remaining, the short timeline, absence of scheduled summits or legislative votes, and ongoing regional security considerations continue to limit the scope for swift diplomatic agreements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$24,753 KL.
$24,753 KL.
$24,753 KL.
$24,753 KL.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The trader consensus favoring no new accession by June 30 reflects Saudi Arabia’s repeated insistence on a viable path to a Palestinian state before any normalization with Israel, a position unchanged despite President Trump’s public urging during his March 2026 appearance in Miami. Kazakhstan formalized its entry earlier in 2026 and Somaliland pledged ties after Israel’s December 2025 recognition, yet neither development has triggered parallel breakthroughs with other candidates such as Oman or additional Central Asian states. With roughly six weeks remaining, the short timeline, absence of scheduled summits or legislative votes, and ongoing regional security considerations continue to limit the scope for swift diplomatic agreements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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