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icon for 9月18日在美國Apple App Store排名第一的免費應用程式？
科技·App

9月18日在美國Apple App Store排名第一的免費應用程式？

icon for 9月18日在美國Apple App Store排名第一的免費應用程式？
科技·App

9月18日在美國Apple App Store排名第一的免費應用程式？

9月 18

9月 18

Muse 74%

ChatGPT 27%

Vinted 2.1%

Google 地圖 1.9%

Polymarket

$13,566 交易量

Muse 74%

ChatGPT 27%

Vinted 2.1%

Google 地圖 1.9%

Polymarket

$13,566 交易量

icon for Muse

Muse

$1,683 交易量

74%

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$10,077 交易量

27%

icon for Vinted

Vinted

$765 交易量

2%

icon for Google 地圖

Google 地圖

$292 交易量

2%

icon for Polymarket

Polymarket

$138 交易量

<1%

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$361 交易量

<1%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$250 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Meta’s new personal AI agent app Muse, launched September 8 with a focus on task automation via its Muse Spark model, drives the 79.5% implied probability of claiming the top free US App Store spot on September 18. Early Sensor Tower data showed over 83,000 iOS downloads pushing it to No. 2 within days, outpacing some rivals but trailing Meta’s prior launches like Threads. The September 17 Mac app release, enabling cross-device access to files, calendar, and messages, adds fresh momentum amid ongoing US-only rollout and free tier with usage limits. ChatGPT’s lower 20% odds reflect its established but less novel positioning, while competitors like Google Maps or Vinted show minimal recent catalysts to shift the trader consensus reflected in these market-implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$13,566
結束日期
2026-09-18
市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Meta’s new personal AI agent app Muse, launched September 8 with a focus on task automation via its Muse Spark model, drives the 79.5% implied probability of claiming the top free US App Store spot on September 18. Early Sensor Tower data showed over 83,000 iOS downloads pushing it to No. 2 within days, outpacing some rivals but trailing Meta’s prior launches like Threads. The September 17 Mac app release, enabling cross-device access to files, calendar, and messages, adds fresh momentum amid ongoing US-only rollout and free tier with usage limits. ChatGPT’s lower 20% odds reflect its established but less novel positioning, while competitors like Google Maps or Vinted show minimal recent catalysts to shift the trader consensus reflected in these market-implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$13,566
結束日期
2026-09-18
市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"9月18日在美國Apple App Store排名第一的免費應用程式？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Muse" at 74%, followed by "ChatGPT" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "9月18日在美國Apple App Store排名第一的免費應用程式？" has generated $13.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "9月18日在美國Apple App Store排名第一的免費應用程式？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "9月18日在美國Apple App Store排名第一的免費應用程式？" is "Muse" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ChatGPT" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "9月18日在美國Apple App Store排名第一的免費應用程式？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.