Recent developments surrounding the European Central Bank have driven strong trader consensus toward an ECB rate hike occurring in 2026. Escalating energy prices from the Iran conflict pushed euro area inflation above 3 percent in April, well above the 2 percent target and prompting the Governing Council to hold rates steady at its April 30 meeting while signaling tightening as a live option for the June 11 decision. Multiple economist surveys, including Bloomberg’s May poll, now project quarter-point increases in both June and September, with money markets pricing in at least two hikes by year-end to anchor inflation expectations. Hawkish comments from officials such as Isabel Schnabel and Peter Kazimir have reinforced this path despite weak Q1 growth. Even following a reported ceasefire, forward-looking assessments from the IMF and market participants continue to anticipate net tightening this year to maintain a neutral monetary stance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$114,365 交易量
$114,365 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$114,365 交易量
$114,365 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments surrounding the European Central Bank have driven strong trader consensus toward an ECB rate hike occurring in 2026. Escalating energy prices from the Iran conflict pushed euro area inflation above 3 percent in April, well above the 2 percent target and prompting the Governing Council to hold rates steady at its April 30 meeting while signaling tightening as a live option for the June 11 decision. Multiple economist surveys, including Bloomberg’s May poll, now project quarter-point increases in both June and September, with money markets pricing in at least two hikes by year-end to anchor inflation expectations. Hawkish comments from officials such as Isabel Schnabel and Peter Kazimir have reinforced this path despite weak Q1 growth. Even following a reported ceasefire, forward-looking assessments from the IMF and market participants continue to anticipate net tightening this year to maintain a neutral monetary stance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
交易量
$114,365結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments surrounding the European Central Bank have driven strong trader consensus toward an ECB rate hike occurring in 2026. Escalating energy prices from the Iran conflict pushed euro area inflation above 3 percent in April, well above the 2 percent target and prompting the Governing Council to hold rates steady at its April 30 meeting while signaling tightening as a live option for the June 11 decision. Multiple economist surveys, including Bloomberg’s May poll, now project quarter-point increases in both June and September, with money markets pricing in at least two hikes by year-end to anchor inflation expectations. Hawkish comments from officials such as Isabel Schnabel and Peter Kazimir have reinforced this path despite weak Q1 growth. Even following a reported ceasefire, forward-looking assessments from the IMF and market participants continue to anticipate net tightening this year to maintain a neutral monetary stance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$114,365結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments surrounding the European Central Bank have driven strong trader consensus toward an ECB rate hike occurring in 2026. Escalating energy prices from the Iran conflict pushed euro area inflation above 3 percent in April, well above the 2 percent target and prompting the Governing Council to hold rates steady at its April 30 meeting while signaling tightening as a live option for the June 11 decision. Multiple economist surveys, including Bloomberg’s May poll, now project quarter-point increases in both June and September, with money markets pricing in at least two hikes by year-end to anchor inflation expectations. Hawkish comments from officials such as Isabel Schnabel and Peter Kazimir have reinforced this path despite weak Q1 growth. Even following a reported ceasefire, forward-looking assessments from the IMF and market participants continue to anticipate net tightening this year to maintain a neutral monetary stance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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