Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have pushed Eurozone inflation above the ECB's 2% target, with headline readings reaching 3% amid energy price spikes. The Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting but signaled a data-dependent path that leaves room for tightening, with officials increasingly highlighting upside risks to the inflation outlook. Market pricing and economist surveys now point to at least one 25-basis-point increase before year-end, most likely at the June 11 decision, followed by possible further adjustments. This shift from earlier easing expectations has produced broad trader consensus that the ECB will raise rates at some point in 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$114,755 交易量
$114,755 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$114,755 交易量
$114,755 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have pushed Eurozone inflation above the ECB's 2% target, with headline readings reaching 3% amid energy price spikes. The Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting but signaled a data-dependent path that leaves room for tightening, with officials increasingly highlighting upside risks to the inflation outlook. Market pricing and economist surveys now point to at least one 25-basis-point increase before year-end, most likely at the June 11 decision, followed by possible further adjustments. This shift from earlier easing expectations has produced broad trader consensus that the ECB will raise rates at some point in 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
交易量
$114,755結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have pushed Eurozone inflation above the ECB's 2% target, with headline readings reaching 3% amid energy price spikes. The Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting but signaled a data-dependent path that leaves room for tightening, with officials increasingly highlighting upside risks to the inflation outlook. Market pricing and economist surveys now point to at least one 25-basis-point increase before year-end, most likely at the June 11 decision, followed by possible further adjustments. This shift from earlier easing expectations has produced broad trader consensus that the ECB will raise rates at some point in 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$114,755結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have pushed Eurozone inflation above the ECB's 2% target, with headline readings reaching 3% amid energy price spikes. The Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting but signaled a data-dependent path that leaves room for tightening, with officials increasingly highlighting upside risks to the inflation outlook. Market pricing and economist surveys now point to at least one 25-basis-point increase before year-end, most likely at the June 11 decision, followed by possible further adjustments. This shift from earlier easing expectations has produced broad trader consensus that the ECB will raise rates at some point in 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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