Recent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF-influenced models, and global ensembles point to a stable high-pressure pattern over central Anatolia, with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover supporting strong daytime solar heating for September 5. Ankara’s elevation near 900 m and dry continental air mass favor peak temperatures clustering tightly around 28–30 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima average 26–28 °C. Model consensus shows little spread, with only modest variations from steering flow or boundary-layer mixing potentially shifting the daily high by 1 °C. This narrow range underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 29 °C and 28 °C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs and historical verification data ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日安卡拉的最高溫度？
9月5日安卡拉的最高溫度？
29°C 59%
28°C 30%
30°C 9%
27°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
30%
29°C
59%
30°C
9%
31°C
2%
32°C或更高
<1%
29°C 59%
28°C 30%
30°C 9%
27°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
22°C或以下
$179 交易量
<1%
23°C
$155 交易量
<1%
24°C
$129 交易量
<1%
25°C
$294 交易量
<1%
26°C
$287 交易量
1%
27°C
$312 交易量
3%
28°C
$867 交易量
30%
29°C
$1,808 交易量
59%
30°C
$542 交易量
9%
31°C
$480 交易量
2%
32°C或更高
$149 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF-influenced models, and global ensembles point to a stable high-pressure pattern over central Anatolia, with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover supporting strong daytime solar heating for September 5. Ankara’s elevation near 900 m and dry continental air mass favor peak temperatures clustering tightly around 28–30 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima average 26–28 °C. Model consensus shows little spread, with only modest variations from steering flow or boundary-layer mixing potentially shifting the daily high by 1 °C. This narrow range underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 29 °C and 28 °C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs and historical verification data ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,202結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF-influenced models, and global ensembles point to a stable high-pressure pattern over central Anatolia, with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover supporting strong daytime solar heating for September 5. Ankara’s elevation near 900 m and dry continental air mass favor peak temperatures clustering tightly around 28–30 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima average 26–28 °C. Model consensus shows little spread, with only modest variations from steering flow or boundary-layer mixing potentially shifting the daily high by 1 °C. This narrow range underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 29 °C and 28 °C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs and historical verification data ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,202結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF-influenced models, and global ensembles point to a stable high-pressure pattern over central Anatolia, with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover supporting strong daytime solar heating for September 5. Ankara’s elevation near 900 m and dry continental air mass favor peak temperatures clustering tightly around 28–30 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima average 26–28 °C. Model consensus shows little spread, with only modest variations from steering flow or boundary-layer mixing potentially shifting the daily high by 1 °C. This narrow range underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 29 °C and 28 °C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs and historical verification data ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions