Current meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate stable spring conditions over Beijing, with surface temperatures peaking near 19°C under moderate southerly flow and limited diurnal heating. Recent data from regional weather stations show consistent midday readings aligned with this threshold, reinforced by climatological baselines for mid-May that rarely deviate sharply without significant synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 99.4% for 19°C reflects this strong model agreement and low forecast uncertainty. Scenarios that could challenge the outcome include an unexpected warm advection or clearer skies accelerating surface heating beyond model projections, though such changes appear unlikely within the remaining observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日北京最高溫度？
5月17日北京最高溫度？
19°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$64,085 交易量
$64,085 交易量
2026-05-17
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
99%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$64,085 交易量
$64,085 交易量
2026-05-17
13°C or below
$517 交易量
<1%
14°C
$640 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,765 交易量
<1%
16°C
$6,574 交易量
<1%
17°C
$8,775 交易量
<1%
18°C
$13,961 交易量
<1%
19°C
$7,670 交易量
99%
20°C
$7,336 交易量
1%
21°C
$4,780 交易量
<1%
22°C
$5,950 交易量
<1%
23°C or higher
$6,593 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate stable spring conditions over Beijing, with surface temperatures peaking near 19°C under moderate southerly flow and limited diurnal heating. Recent data from regional weather stations show consistent midday readings aligned with this threshold, reinforced by climatological baselines for mid-May that rarely deviate sharply without significant synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 99.4% for 19°C reflects this strong model agreement and low forecast uncertainty. Scenarios that could challenge the outcome include an unexpected warm advection or clearer skies accelerating surface heating beyond model projections, though such changes appear unlikely within the remaining observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$64,085結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate stable spring conditions over Beijing, with surface temperatures peaking near 19°C under moderate southerly flow and limited diurnal heating. Recent data from regional weather stations show consistent midday readings aligned with this threshold, reinforced by climatological baselines for mid-May that rarely deviate sharply without significant synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 99.4% for 19°C reflects this strong model agreement and low forecast uncertainty. Scenarios that could challenge the outcome include an unexpected warm advection or clearer skies accelerating surface heating beyond model projections, though such changes appear unlikely within the remaining observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$64,085結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate stable spring conditions over Beijing, with surface temperatures peaking near 19°C under moderate southerly flow and limited diurnal heating. Recent data from regional weather stations show consistent midday readings aligned with this threshold, reinforced by climatological baselines for mid-May that rarely deviate sharply without significant synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 99.4% for 19°C reflects this strong model agreement and low forecast uncertainty. Scenarios that could challenge the outcome include an unexpected warm advection or clearer skies accelerating surface heating beyond model projections, though such changes appear unlikely within the remaining observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions